UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Apollon Limassol vs Brann: 2-4 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Apollon Limassol 2-4 Brann. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Apollon Limassol (55%), while victory for Brann was rated at only 21%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
Match analysis
Apollon Limassol vs Brann was played on Tuesday, August 11, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Alphamega Stadium, Limassol. Before kick-off, our model gave Apollon Limassol a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brann 21%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.7%), ahead of 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.0%).
Apollon Limassol are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 0. Over their last 5 matches, Brann have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Apollon Limassol. On average Apollon Limassol score 2.40 and concede 0.00 goals per game; Brann score 1.60 and concede 1.40.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Apollon Limassol, 0 for Brann and 0 draws. The most recent ended Brann 0-1 Apollon Limassol (Aug 5, 2026). In double chance terms, "Apollon Limassol or draw" stands at 79%, "Brann or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Apollon Limassol – Brann. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol 1-0 Brann | 11.7% |
| Apollon Limassol 1-1 Brann | 11.3% |
| Apollon Limassol 2-0 Brann | 10.0% |
| Apollon Limassol 2-1 Brann | 9.7% |
| Apollon Limassol 0-0 Brann | 6.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.69 goals in total (1.72 for Apollon Limassol, 0.97 for Brann): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Apollon Limassol keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Brann in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol expected goals | 1.72 |
| Brann expected goals | 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Apollon Limassol clean sheet | 38% |
| Brann clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Apollon Limassol
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Brann · UEFA Conference League | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dila · UEFA Conference League | 3-0 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dila · UEFA Conference League | 4-0 | W |
| Jul 11, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Utrecht · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Brann
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Apollon Limassol · UEFA Conference League | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj · UEFA Conference League | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj · UEFA Conference League | 2-2 | D |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Kristiansund BK · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Brann 0-1 Apollon Limassol | UEFA Conference League |
Out and doubtful
Apollon Limassol
No absences reported.
Brann
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- CSKA 1948 1-2 PanathinaikosAug 11, 2026
- FC Copenhagen 5-1 Debreceni VSCAug 12, 2026
- Rapid Vienna 2-0 PaideAug 12, 2026
- GKS Katowice 2-1 Hapoel Tel AvivAug 12, 2026
- FK Tobol Kostanay 1-2 FK PartizanAug 13, 2026
- Qarabag 2-0 Dynamo KyivAug 13, 2026
- Flora Tallinn 0-4 Inter Club d'EscaldesAug 13, 2026
- Ilves 1-1 HNK RijekaAug 13, 2026
- Rīgas FS 1-2 FK JablonecAug 13, 2026
- Hammarby FF 0-1 Raków CzęstochowaAug 13, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Apollon Limassol vs Brann prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Apollon Limassol a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brann 21%. Apollon Limassol are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-4.
What is the most likely correct score for Apollon Limassol vs Brann?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%), 2-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.8%).
Will both teams score in Apollon Limassol vs Brann?
The probability that both Apollon Limassol and Brann score is 51%. Apollon Limassol have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Brann 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Apollon Limassol vs Brann?
The model expects 2.69 goals (1.72 for Apollon Limassol, 0.97 for Brann). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Apollon Limassol vs Brann played?
Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Alphamega Stadium, Limassol.
What form are Apollon Limassol and Brann in?
Apollon Limassol: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 0 conceded). Brann: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Apollon Limassol and Brann?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Apollon Limassol, 0 for Brann and 0 draws. The most recent ended Brann 0-1 Apollon Limassol (Aug 5, 2026).
What was the Apollon Limassol vs Brann result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Apollon Limassol 2-4 Brann. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Apollon Limassol (55%), while victory for Brann was rated at only 21%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
How is the Apollon Limassol vs Brann prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.72 for Apollon Limassol, 0.97 for Brann) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Apollon Limassol predictions
- All Brann predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

