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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)

FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay1 – 2FK PartizanFK Partizan

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: FK Tobol Kostanay 1-2 FK Partizan. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FK Tobol Kostanay (47%), while victory for FK Partizan was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.7%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

FK Tobol Kostanay and FK Partizan met on Thursday, August 13, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay. Before kick-off, our model gave FK Tobol Kostanay a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Partizan 27%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.3%).

FK Tobol Kostanay have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 10. FK Partizan are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 11 and conceding 2. FK Partizan therefore arrive in far better shape than FK Tobol Kostanay. On average FK Tobol Kostanay score 0.60 and concede 2.00 goals per game; FK Partizan score 2.20 and concede 0.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FK Tobol Kostanay, 1 for FK Partizan and 0 draws. The most recent ended FK Partizan 3-0 FK Tobol Kostanay (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "FK Tobol Kostanay or draw" stands at 73%, "FK Partizan or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 74%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

47%
FK Tobol Kostanay (Win)
26%
Draw
27%
FK Partizan (Win)

Double chance

73%
FK Tobol Kostanay or draw
53%
FK Partizan or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FK Tobol Kostanay – FK Partizan. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FK Tobol Kostanay 1-1 FK Partizan12.2%
FK Tobol Kostanay 1-0 FK Partizan11.1%
FK Tobol Kostanay 2-1 FK Partizan9.3%
FK Tobol Kostanay 2-0 FK Partizan8.4%
FK Tobol Kostanay 0-1 FK Partizan8.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.52 expected goals for FK Tobol Kostanay and 1.10 for FK Partizan, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. FK Tobol Kostanay keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, FK Partizan in 22%.

Probability
FK Tobol Kostanay expected goals1.52
FK Partizan expected goals1.10
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
FK Tobol Kostanay clean sheet33%
FK Partizan clean sheet22%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FK Tobol Kostanay

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026FK Partizan · UEFA Conference League0-3L
Jul 30, 2026Panevėžys · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 23, 2026Panevėžys · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Feb 13, 2026Nizhny Novgorod · Club Friendlies1-2L
Feb 8, 2026Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · Club Friendlies0-3L

FK Partizan

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026FK Tobol Kostanay · UEFA Conference League3-0W
Jul 30, 2026UNA Strassen · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 23, 2026UNA Strassen · UEFA Conference League4-0W
Jul 10, 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 6, 2026Neftchi Baku · Club Friendlies1-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026FK Partizan 3-0 FK Tobol KostanayUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

FK Tobol Kostanay

No absences reported.

FK Partizan

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FK Tobol Kostanay a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Partizan 27%. FK Tobol Kostanay are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan?

1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.4%) and 0-1 (8.0%).

Will both teams score in FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan?

The probability that both FK Tobol Kostanay and FK Partizan score is 52%. FK Tobol Kostanay have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FK Partizan 22%.

How many goals should we expect in FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan?

The model expects 2.62 goals (1.52 for FK Tobol Kostanay, 1.10 for FK Partizan). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay.

What form are FK Tobol Kostanay and FK Partizan in?

FK Tobol Kostanay: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 10 conceded). FK Partizan: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 2 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between FK Tobol Kostanay and FK Partizan?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FK Tobol Kostanay, 1 for FK Partizan and 0 draws. The most recent ended FK Partizan 3-0 FK Tobol Kostanay (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FK Tobol Kostanay 1-2 FK Partizan. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FK Tobol Kostanay (47%), while victory for FK Partizan was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.7%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Partizan prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.52 for FK Tobol Kostanay, 1.10 for FK Partizan) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained