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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik: 5-0 result and AI prediction review

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland5 – 0Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 5-0 Valur Reykjavik. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FC Nordsjaelland at 53%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

FC Nordsjaelland and Valur Reykjavik met on Thursday, August 13, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Right to Dream Park, Farum. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Nordsjaelland a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valur Reykjavik 23%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (9.7%).

Over their last 5 matches, FC Nordsjaelland have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Valur Reykjavik have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average FC Nordsjaelland score 1.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Valur Reykjavik score 1.00 and concede 1.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for FC Nordsjaelland, 0 for Valur Reykjavik and 0 draws. The most recent ended Valur Reykjavik 0-2 FC Nordsjaelland (Aug 6, 2026). FC Nordsjaelland out or doubtful: S. Alio, A. Lind and A. Mohammed. In double chance terms, "FC Nordsjaelland or draw" stands at 77%, "Valur Reykjavik or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

53%
FC Nordsjaelland (Win)
24%
Draw
23%
Valur Reykjavik (Win)

Double chance

77%
FC Nordsjaelland or draw
47%
Valur Reykjavik or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FC Nordsjaelland – Valur Reykjavik. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 Valur Reykjavik11.6%
FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 Valur Reykjavik11.6%
FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 Valur Reykjavik9.7%
FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 Valur Reykjavik9.7%
FC Nordsjaelland 0-0 Valur Reykjavik6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.67 expected goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.00 for Valur Reykjavik, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. FC Nordsjaelland keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Valur Reykjavik in 19%.

Probability
FC Nordsjaelland expected goals1.67
Valur Reykjavik expected goals1.00
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet37%
Valur Reykjavik clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FC Nordsjaelland

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Valur Reykjavik · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 30, 2026Gais · UEFA Conference League6-0W
Jul 23, 2026Gais · UEFA Conference League0-1L
Jul 10, 2026Gornik Zabrze · Club Friendlies0-2L
Jul 10, 2026Hradec Králové · Club Friendlies0-3L

Valur Reykjavik

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026FC Nordsjaelland · UEFA Conference League0-2L
Jul 30, 2026Zrinjski · UEFA Conference League2-2D
Jul 23, 2026Zrinjski · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 31, 2025Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Conference League1-2L
Jul 24, 2025Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Conference League1-1D

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Valur Reykjavik 0-2 FC NordsjaellandUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

FC Nordsjaelland

  • S. Alio (out)
  • A. Lind (out)
  • A. Mohammed (out)

Valur Reykjavik

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FC Nordsjaelland a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valur Reykjavik 23%. FC Nordsjaelland are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-0.

What is the most likely correct score for FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?

1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%), 2-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?

The probability that both FC Nordsjaelland and Valur Reykjavik score is 51%. FC Nordsjaelland have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Valur Reykjavik 19%.

How many goals should we expect in FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?

The model expects 2.67 goals (1.67 for FC Nordsjaelland, 1.00 for Valur Reykjavik). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Right to Dream Park, Farum.

What form are FC Nordsjaelland and Valur Reykjavik in?

FC Nordsjaelland: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). Valur Reykjavik: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between FC Nordsjaelland and Valur Reykjavik?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for FC Nordsjaelland, 0 for Valur Reykjavik and 0 draws. The most recent ended Valur Reykjavik 0-2 FC Nordsjaelland (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 5-0 Valur Reykjavik. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FC Nordsjaelland at 53%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.67 for FC Nordsjaelland, 1.00 for Valur Reykjavik) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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