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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)

Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

Rīgas FSRīgas FS1 – 2FK JablonecFK Jablonec

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Rīgas FS 1-2 FK Jablonec. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Rīgas FS (48%), while victory for FK Jablonec was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Rīgas FS and FK Jablonec met on Thursday, August 13, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: LNK Sporta Parks, Riga. Before kick-off, our model gave Rīgas FS a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Jablonec 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, Rīgas FS have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, FK Jablonec have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Rīgas FS score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; FK Jablonec score 1.40 and concede 0.80.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rīgas FS, 1 for FK Jablonec and 0 draws. The most recent ended FK Jablonec 2-0 Rīgas FS (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "Rīgas FS or draw" stands at 74%, "FK Jablonec or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 74%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

48%
Rīgas FS (Win)
26%
Draw
26%
FK Jablonec (Win)

Double chance

74%
Rīgas FS or draw
52%
FK Jablonec or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Rīgas FS – FK Jablonec. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Rīgas FS 1-1 FK Jablonec12.1%
Rīgas FS 1-0 FK Jablonec11.3%
Rīgas FS 2-1 FK Jablonec9.4%
Rīgas FS 2-0 FK Jablonec8.7%
Rīgas FS 0-1 FK Jablonec7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.55 expected goals for Rīgas FS and 1.07 for FK Jablonec, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Rīgas FS keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, FK Jablonec in 21%.

Probability
Rīgas FS expected goals1.55
FK Jablonec expected goals1.07
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Rīgas FS clean sheet34%
FK Jablonec clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Rīgas FS

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026FK Jablonec · UEFA Conference League0-2L
Jul 30, 2026Vestri · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 23, 2026Vestri · UEFA Conference League4-1W
Jul 16, 2026Glentoran · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 9, 2026Glentoran · UEFA Conference League2-1W

FK Jablonec

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Rīgas FS · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 30, 2026NK Varazdin · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 23, 2026NK Varazdin · UEFA Conference League2-3L
Jul 8, 2026Pafos · Club Friendlies0-0D
Jul 3, 2026Ústí nad Labem · Club Friendlies1-1D

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026FK Jablonec 2-0 Rīgas FSUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Rīgas FS

No absences reported.

FK Jablonec

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Rīgas FS a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Jablonec 26%. Rīgas FS are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?

1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.7%) and 0-1 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?

The probability that both Rīgas FS and FK Jablonec score is 52%. Rīgas FS have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FK Jablonec 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?

The model expects 2.62 goals (1.55 for Rīgas FS, 1.07 for FK Jablonec). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: LNK Sporta Parks, Riga.

What form are Rīgas FS and FK Jablonec in?

Rīgas FS: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). FK Jablonec: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Rīgas FS and FK Jablonec?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rīgas FS, 1 for FK Jablonec and 0 draws. The most recent ended FK Jablonec 2-0 Rīgas FS (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Rīgas FS 1-2 FK Jablonec. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Rīgas FS (48%), while victory for FK Jablonec was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.55 for Rīgas FS, 1.07 for FK Jablonec) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained