Skip to content
Elofoot

UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

QarabagQarabag2 – 0Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Qarabag 2-0 Dynamo Kyiv. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Qarabag was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.4%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): missed.

Match analysis

Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv was played on Thursday, August 13, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku. Before kick-off, our model gave Qarabag a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dynamo Kyiv 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.8%), ahead of 2-0 (11.4%) and 1-1 (10.1%).

Over their last 5 matches, Qarabag have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 1. Over their last 5 matches, Dynamo Kyiv have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Qarabag score 1.20 and concede 0.20 goals per game; Dynamo Kyiv score 1.40 and concede 1.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Qarabag, 1 for Dynamo Kyiv and 0 draws. The most recent ended Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 Qarabag (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "Qarabag or draw" stands at 77%, "Dynamo Kyiv or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

52%
Qarabag (Win)
25%
Draw
23%
Dynamo Kyiv (Win)

Double chance

77%
Qarabag or draw
48%
Dynamo Kyiv or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Qarabag – Dynamo Kyiv. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Qarabag 1-0 Dynamo Kyiv11.8%
Qarabag 2-0 Dynamo Kyiv11.4%
Qarabag 1-1 Dynamo Kyiv10.1%
Qarabag 2-1 Dynamo Kyiv9.8%
Qarabag 3-0 Dynamo Kyiv7.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.80 goals in total (1.94 for Qarabag, 0.86 for Dynamo Kyiv): over 2.5 goals has a 53% probability and both teams to score 49%. Qarabag keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Dynamo Kyiv in 14%.

Probability
Qarabag expected goals1.94
Dynamo Kyiv expected goals0.86
Both teams to score49%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Qarabag clean sheet42%
Dynamo Kyiv clean sheet14%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Qarabag

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Dynamo Kyiv · UEFA Conference League0-1L
Jul 30, 2026CSKA Sofia · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Jul 23, 2026CSKA Sofia · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Jul 16, 2026Vestri · UEFA Europa League3-0W
Jul 9, 2026Vestri · UEFA Europa League3-0W

Dynamo Kyiv

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Qarabag · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 30, 2026PAOK · UEFA Europa League0-2L
Jul 23, 2026PAOK · UEFA Europa League2-3L
Jul 16, 2026Universitatea Cluj · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Jul 10, 2026Radomiak Radom · Club Friendlies4-2W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 QarabagUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Qarabag

No absences reported.

Dynamo Kyiv

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Qarabag a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dynamo Kyiv 23%. Qarabag are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?

1-0 (11.8%), followed by 2-0 (11.4%), 1-1 (10.1%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (7.4%).

Will both teams score in Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?

The probability that both Qarabag and Dynamo Kyiv score is 49%. Qarabag have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Dynamo Kyiv 14%.

How many goals should we expect in Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?

The model expects 2.80 goals (1.94 for Qarabag, 0.86 for Dynamo Kyiv). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, over 3.5 goals 31%.

When and where is Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku.

What form are Qarabag and Dynamo Kyiv in?

Qarabag: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 1 conceded). Dynamo Kyiv: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Qarabag and Dynamo Kyiv?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Qarabag, 1 for Dynamo Kyiv and 0 draws. The most recent ended Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 Qarabag (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Qarabag 2-0 Dynamo Kyiv. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Qarabag was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.4%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): missed.

How is the Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.94 for Qarabag, 0.86 for Dynamo Kyiv) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained