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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

ML VitebskML Vitebsk1 – 0Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: ML Vitebsk 1-0 Borac Banja Luka (2-4 on penalties). The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for ML Vitebsk at 49%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

Match analysis

ML Vitebsk and Borac Banja Luka met on Thursday, August 13, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Mezokovesdi Varosi Stadion, Mezokovesd. Before kick-off, our model gave ML Vitebsk a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Borac Banja Luka 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, ML Vitebsk have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Borac Banja Luka have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average ML Vitebsk score 1.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Borac Banja Luka score 1.60 and concede 1.60.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for ML Vitebsk, 1 for Borac Banja Luka and 0 draws. The most recent ended Borac Banja Luka 1-0 ML Vitebsk (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "ML Vitebsk or draw" stands at 74%, "Borac Banja Luka or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

49%
ML Vitebsk (Win)
25%
Draw
26%
Borac Banja Luka (Win)

Double chance

74%
ML Vitebsk or draw
51%
Borac Banja Luka or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as ML Vitebsk – Borac Banja Luka. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
ML Vitebsk 1-1 Borac Banja Luka12.0%
ML Vitebsk 1-0 Borac Banja Luka11.2%
ML Vitebsk 2-1 Borac Banja Luka9.4%
ML Vitebsk 2-0 Borac Banja Luka8.8%
ML Vitebsk 0-1 Borac Banja Luka7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.56 expected goals for ML Vitebsk and 1.07 for Borac Banja Luka, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. ML Vitebsk keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Borac Banja Luka in 21%.

Probability
ML Vitebsk expected goals1.56
Borac Banja Luka expected goals1.07
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
ML Vitebsk clean sheet34%
Borac Banja Luka clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

ML Vitebsk

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Borac Banja Luka · UEFA Conference League0-1L
Jul 30, 2026Sutjeska · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Jul 23, 2026Sutjeska · UEFA Conference League3-0W
Jul 15, 2026Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 8, 2026Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Champions League1-4L

Borac Banja Luka

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026ML Vitebsk · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 30, 2026Petrocub · UEFA Conference League3-3D
Jul 23, 2026Petrocub · UEFA Conference League3-0W
Jul 14, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League0-4L
Jul 7, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League1-1D

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Borac Banja Luka 1-0 ML VitebskUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

ML Vitebsk

No absences reported.

Borac Banja Luka

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave ML Vitebsk a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Borac Banja Luka 26%. ML Vitebsk are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka?

1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.8%) and 0-1 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka?

The probability that both ML Vitebsk and Borac Banja Luka score is 52%. ML Vitebsk have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Borac Banja Luka 21%.

How many goals should we expect in ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka?

The model expects 2.63 goals (1.56 for ML Vitebsk, 1.07 for Borac Banja Luka). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Mezokovesdi Varosi Stadion, Mezokovesd.

What form are ML Vitebsk and Borac Banja Luka in?

ML Vitebsk: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded). Borac Banja Luka: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between ML Vitebsk and Borac Banja Luka?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for ML Vitebsk, 1 for Borac Banja Luka and 0 draws. The most recent ended Borac Banja Luka 1-0 ML Vitebsk (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: ML Vitebsk 1-0 Borac Banja Luka (2-4 on penalties). The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for ML Vitebsk at 49%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

How is the ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.56 for ML Vitebsk, 1.07 for Borac Banja Luka) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained