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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)

NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano: 2-2 result and AI prediction review

NSI RunavikNSI Runavik2 – 2FC LuganoFC Lugano

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-2

Final score: NSI Runavik 2-2 FC Lugano. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FC Lugano (74%), while a draw was rated at only 16%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.6%), behind 0-2. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (62%): correct.

Match analysis

NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano was played on Thursday, August 13, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Djúpumýra, Klaksvík. Before kick-off, our model gave NSI Runavik a 10% chance of winning, the draw 16% and FC Lugano 74%. The most likely correct score is 0-2 (11.9%), ahead of 0-1 (9.7%) and 0-3 (9.7%).

Over their last 5 matches, NSI Runavik have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 6. FC Lugano are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 13 and conceding 1. Recent momentum is clearly with FC Lugano. On average NSI Runavik score 1.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; FC Lugano score 2.60 and concede 0.20.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for NSI Runavik, 1 for FC Lugano and 0 draws. The most recent ended FC Lugano 2-0 NSI Runavik (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "NSI Runavik or draw" stands at 26%, "FC Lugano or draw" at 90% and "no draw" at 84%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

10%
NSI Runavik (Win)
16%
Draw
74%
FC Lugano (Win)

Double chance

26%
NSI Runavik or draw
90%
FC Lugano or draw
84%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as NSI Runavik – FC Lugano. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
NSI Runavik 0-2 FC Lugano11.9%
NSI Runavik 0-1 FC Lugano9.7%
NSI Runavik 0-3 FC Lugano9.7%
NSI Runavik 1-2 FC Lugano9.3%
NSI Runavik 1-1 FC Lugano7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.22 goals in total (0.78 for NSI Runavik, 2.44 for FC Lugano): over 2.5 goals has a 62% probability and both teams to score 49%. Everything points to an open game. NSI Runavik keep a clean sheet in 9% of scenarios, FC Lugano in 46%.

Probability
NSI Runavik expected goals0.78
FC Lugano expected goals2.44
Both teams to score49%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
NSI Runavik clean sheet9%
FC Lugano clean sheet46%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

NSI Runavik

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026FC Lugano · UEFA Conference League0-2L
Jul 30, 2026Koper · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 23, 2026Koper · UEFA Conference League0-2L
Jul 16, 2026Hamrun Spartans · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Jul 9, 2026Hamrun Spartans · UEFA Conference League1-1D

FC Lugano

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026NSI Runavik · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 29, 2026Dukagjini · UEFA Conference League5-1W
Jul 23, 2026Dukagjini · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 10, 20261. FC Heidenheim · Club Friendlies1-0W
Jul 7, 2026Memmingen · Club Friendlies4-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026FC Lugano 2-0 NSI RunavikUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

NSI Runavik

No absences reported.

FC Lugano

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave NSI Runavik a 10% chance of winning, the draw 16% and FC Lugano 74%. FC Lugano are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-2.

What is the most likely correct score for NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano?

0-2 (11.9%), followed by 0-1 (9.7%), 0-3 (9.7%), 1-2 (9.3%) and 1-1 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano?

The probability that both NSI Runavik and FC Lugano score is 49%. NSI Runavik have a 9% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC Lugano 46%.

How many goals should we expect in NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano?

The model expects 3.22 goals (0.78 for NSI Runavik, 2.44 for FC Lugano). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, over 3.5 goals 40%.

When and where is NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Djúpumýra, Klaksvík.

What form are NSI Runavik and FC Lugano in?

NSI Runavik: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded). FC Lugano: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 1 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between NSI Runavik and FC Lugano?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for NSI Runavik, 1 for FC Lugano and 0 draws. The most recent ended FC Lugano 2-0 NSI Runavik (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: NSI Runavik 2-2 FC Lugano. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FC Lugano (74%), while a draw was rated at only 16%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.6%), behind 0-2. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (62%): correct.

How is the NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.78 for NSI Runavik, 2.44 for FC Lugano) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained