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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)

FC ST. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol: 5-1 result and AI prediction review

FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen5 – 1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: FC ST. Gallen 5-1 Sheriff Tiraspol. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for FC ST. Gallen was the model's favourite outcome (53%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

FC ST. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol was played on Thursday, August 13, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Kybunpark, St. Gallen. Before kick-off, our model gave FC ST. Gallen a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sheriff Tiraspol 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (9.7%).

Over their last 5 matches, FC ST. Gallen have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Sheriff Tiraspol have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 9. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average FC ST. Gallen score 1.60 and concede 3.20 goals per game; Sheriff Tiraspol score 0.40 and concede 1.80.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for FC ST. Gallen, 0 for Sheriff Tiraspol and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sheriff Tiraspol 1-3 FC ST. Gallen (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "FC ST. Gallen or draw" stands at 77%, "Sheriff Tiraspol or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

53%
FC ST. Gallen (Win)
24%
Draw
23%
Sheriff Tiraspol (Win)

Double chance

77%
FC ST. Gallen or draw
47%
Sheriff Tiraspol or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FC ST. Gallen – Sheriff Tiraspol. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FC ST. Gallen 1-0 Sheriff Tiraspol11.6%
FC ST. Gallen 1-1 Sheriff Tiraspol11.6%
FC ST. Gallen 2-0 Sheriff Tiraspol9.7%
FC ST. Gallen 2-1 Sheriff Tiraspol9.7%
FC ST. Gallen 0-0 Sheriff Tiraspol6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.67 for FC ST. Gallen, 1.00 for Sheriff Tiraspol): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. FC ST. Gallen keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Sheriff Tiraspol in 19%.

Probability
FC ST. Gallen expected goals1.67
Sheriff Tiraspol expected goals1.00
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
FC ST. Gallen clean sheet37%
Sheriff Tiraspol clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FC ST. Gallen

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Conference League3-1W
Jul 30, 2026Benfica · UEFA Europa League0-5L
Jul 23, 2026Benfica · UEFA Europa League2-1W
Jul 17, 2026Norwich · Club Friendlies0-3L
Jul 11, 2026Lyon · Club Friendlies3-6L

Sheriff Tiraspol

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026FC ST. Gallen · UEFA Conference League1-3L
Jul 30, 2026Maccabi Tel Aviv · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Jul 23, 2026Maccabi Tel Aviv · UEFA Europa League0-5L
Jul 16, 2026Aluminij · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Jul 9, 2026Aluminij · UEFA Europa League0-0D

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol 1-3 FC ST. GallenUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

FC ST. Gallen

No absences reported.

Sheriff Tiraspol

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FC ST. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FC ST. Gallen a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sheriff Tiraspol 23%. FC ST. Gallen are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-1.

What is the most likely correct score for FC ST. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%), 2-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in FC ST. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

The probability that both FC ST. Gallen and Sheriff Tiraspol score is 51%. FC ST. Gallen have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sheriff Tiraspol 19%.

How many goals should we expect in FC ST. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

The model expects 2.67 goals (1.67 for FC ST. Gallen, 1.00 for Sheriff Tiraspol). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is FC ST. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Kybunpark, St. Gallen.

What form are FC ST. Gallen and Sheriff Tiraspol in?

FC ST. Gallen: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 16 conceded). Sheriff Tiraspol: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between FC ST. Gallen and Sheriff Tiraspol?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for FC ST. Gallen, 0 for Sheriff Tiraspol and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sheriff Tiraspol 1-3 FC ST. Gallen (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the FC ST. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FC ST. Gallen 5-1 Sheriff Tiraspol. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for FC ST. Gallen was the model's favourite outcome (53%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the FC ST. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.67 for FC ST. Gallen, 1.00 for Sheriff Tiraspol) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained