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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)

Gent vs IFK Goteborg: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

GentGent1 – 1IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Gent 1-1 IFK Goteborg. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Gent (64%), while a draw was rated at only 21%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (11.3%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (45%): correct.

Match analysis

Gent and IFK Goteborg met on Thursday, August 13, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Planet Group Arena, Gent. Before kick-off, our model gave Gent a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and IFK Goteborg 15%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (14.2%), followed by 2-0 (11.8%) and 1-1 (11.3%).

Gent are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 5 and conceding 2. IFK Goteborg have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Gent therefore arrive in far better shape than IFK Goteborg. On average Gent score 1.00 and concede 0.40 goals per game; IFK Goteborg score 1.20 and concede 1.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Gent, 0 for IFK Goteborg and 0 draws. The most recent ended IFK Goteborg 0-1 Gent (Aug 6, 2026). IFK Goteborg: G. Ersoy, T. Heintz, D. Kruse and A. Mucolli. In double chance terms, "Gent or draw" stands at 85%, "IFK Goteborg or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 79%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

64%
Gent (Win)
21%
Draw
15%
IFK Goteborg (Win)

Double chance

85%
Gent or draw
36%
IFK Goteborg or draw
79%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Gent – IFK Goteborg. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 55% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Gent 1-0 IFK Goteborg14.2%
Gent 2-0 IFK Goteborg11.8%
Gent 1-1 IFK Goteborg11.3%
Gent 2-1 IFK Goteborg9.4%
Gent 0-0 IFK Goteborg8.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.66 expected goals for Gent and 0.80 for IFK Goteborg, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 45% and "both teams to score" at 45%. Gent keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, IFK Goteborg in 19%.

Probability
Gent expected goals1.66
IFK Goteborg expected goals0.80
Both teams to score45%
Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Gent clean sheet45%
IFK Goteborg clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Gent

DateOpponentScore
Aug 9, 2026KV Mechelen · Jupiler Pro League2-0W
Aug 6, 2026IFK Goteborg · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 30, 2026LNZ Cherkasy · UEFA Conference League0-0D
Jul 23, 2026LNZ Cherkasy · UEFA Conference League0-0D
Jul 18, 2026Twente · Club Friendlies2-2D

IFK Goteborg

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Gent · UEFA Conference League0-1L
Jul 30, 2026FC Levadia Tallinn · UEFA Conference League3-1W
Jul 21, 2026FC Levadia Tallinn · UEFA Conference League1-2L
Jun 27, 2026Ham-Kam · Club Friendlies1-2L
Jun 18, 2026Valerenga · Club Friendlies1-1D

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026IFK Goteborg 0-1 GentUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Gent

No absences reported.

IFK Goteborg

  • G. Ersoy (out)
  • T. Heintz (out)
  • D. Kruse (out)
  • A. Mucolli (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Gent vs IFK Goteborg prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Gent a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and IFK Goteborg 15%. Gent are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Gent vs IFK Goteborg?

1-0 (14.2%), followed by 2-0 (11.8%), 1-1 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%) and 0-0 (8.5%).

Will both teams score in Gent vs IFK Goteborg?

The probability that both Gent and IFK Goteborg score is 45%. Gent have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, IFK Goteborg 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Gent vs IFK Goteborg?

The model expects 2.46 goals (1.66 for Gent, 0.80 for IFK Goteborg). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 70%, over 2.5 goals 45%, over 3.5 goals 23%.

When and where is Gent vs IFK Goteborg played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Planet Group Arena, Gent.

What form are Gent and IFK Goteborg in?

Gent: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 2 conceded). IFK Goteborg: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Gent and IFK Goteborg?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Gent, 0 for IFK Goteborg and 0 draws. The most recent ended IFK Goteborg 0-1 Gent (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the Gent vs IFK Goteborg result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Gent 1-1 IFK Goteborg. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Gent (64%), while a draw was rated at only 21%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (11.3%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (45%): correct.

How is the Gent vs IFK Goteborg prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Gent, 0.80 for IFK Goteborg) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained