UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Drita vs Tre Fiori: 5-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Drita 5-0 Tre Fiori. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Drita was the model's favourite outcome (55%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.
Match analysis
Drita vs Tre Fiori was played on Thursday, August 13, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina. Before kick-off, our model gave Drita a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tre Fiori 21%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, Drita have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Tre Fiori have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 12. Recent momentum is clearly with Drita. On average Drita score 2.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Tre Fiori score 0.60 and concede 2.40.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Drita, 0 for Tre Fiori and 0 draws. The most recent ended Tre Fiori 1-4 Drita (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "Drita or draw" stands at 79%, "Tre Fiori or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Drita – Tre Fiori. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Drita 1-0 Tre Fiori | 11.6% |
| Drita 1-1 Tre Fiori | 11.3% |
| Drita 2-0 Tre Fiori | 10.1% |
| Drita 2-1 Tre Fiori | 9.8% |
| Drita 0-0 Tre Fiori | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.70 goals in total (1.73 for Drita, 0.97 for Tre Fiori): over 2.5 goals has a 51% probability and both teams to score 51%. Drita keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Tre Fiori in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Drita expected goals | 1.73 |
| Tre Fiori expected goals | 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Drita clean sheet | 38% |
| Tre Fiori clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Drita
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Tre Fiori · UEFA Conference League | 4-1 | W |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Floriana · UEFA Conference League | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Floriana · UEFA Conference League | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Champions League | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
Tre Fiori
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Drita · UEFA Conference League | 1-4 | L |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Larne · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Larne · UEFA Champions League | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Pyunik Yerevan · UEFA Conference League | 0-5 | L |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Pyunik Yerevan · UEFA Conference League | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drita | 20 | 8 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Tre Fiori 1-4 Drita | UEFA Conference League |
Out and doubtful
Drita
No absences reported.
Tre Fiori
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- FC Vaduz 2-2 Inter TurkuAug 13, 2026
- NSI Runavik 2-2 FC LuganoAug 13, 2026
- FC ST. Gallen 5-1 Sheriff TiraspolAug 13, 2026
- Shkendija 0-0 HibernianAug 13, 2026
- FC Sion 2-1 FC NoahAug 13, 2026
- Austria Vienna 1-2 Beitar JerusalemAug 13, 2026
- Gyori ETO FC 1-1 RigaAug 13, 2026
- Motherwell 2-0 HJK HelsinkiAug 13, 2026
- Gent 1-1 IFK GoteborgAug 13, 2026
- Shelbourne 2-2 AjaxAug 13, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Drita vs Tre Fiori prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Drita a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tre Fiori 21%. Drita are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Drita vs Tre Fiori?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%), 2-0 (10.1%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in Drita vs Tre Fiori?
The probability that both Drita and Tre Fiori score is 51%. Drita have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Tre Fiori 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Drita vs Tre Fiori?
The model expects 2.70 goals (1.73 for Drita, 0.97 for Tre Fiori). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Drita vs Tre Fiori played?
Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina.
What form are Drita and Tre Fiori in?
Drita: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded). Tre Fiori: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 12 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Drita and Tre Fiori?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Drita, 0 for Tre Fiori and 0 draws. The most recent ended Tre Fiori 1-4 Drita (Aug 6, 2026).
What was the Drita vs Tre Fiori result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Drita 5-0 Tre Fiori. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Drita was the model's favourite outcome (55%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.
How is the Drita vs Tre Fiori prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.73 for Drita, 0.97 for Tre Fiori) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Drita predictions
- All Tre Fiori predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

