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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)

Gyori ETO FC vs Riga: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC1 – 1RigaRiga

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Gyori ETO FC 1-1 Riga. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Gyori ETO FC (47%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

Match analysis

Gyori ETO FC and Riga met on Thursday, August 13, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: ETO Park, Gyor. Before kick-off, our model gave Gyori ETO FC a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Riga 27%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.3%).

Gyori ETO FC have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Riga have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Riga therefore arrive in far better shape than Gyori ETO FC. On average Gyori ETO FC score 1.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Riga score 2.40 and concede 1.60.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Gyori ETO FC, 1 for Riga and 0 draws. The most recent ended Riga 1-0 Gyori ETO FC (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "Gyori ETO FC or draw" stands at 73%, "Riga or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 74%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

47%
Gyori ETO FC (Win)
26%
Draw
27%
Riga (Win)

Double chance

73%
Gyori ETO FC or draw
53%
Riga or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Gyori ETO FC – Riga. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Gyori ETO FC 1-1 Riga12.2%
Gyori ETO FC 1-0 Riga11.1%
Gyori ETO FC 2-1 Riga9.3%
Gyori ETO FC 2-0 Riga8.4%
Gyori ETO FC 0-1 Riga8.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.52 expected goals for Gyori ETO FC and 1.10 for Riga, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Gyori ETO FC keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Riga in 22%.

Probability
Gyori ETO FC expected goals1.52
Riga expected goals1.10
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Gyori ETO FC clean sheet33%
Riga clean sheet22%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Gyori ETO FC

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Riga · UEFA Conference League0-1L
Jul 30, 2026Atert Bissen · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 21, 2026Atert Bissen · UEFA Conference League6-2W
Jul 14, 2026Vikingur Reykjavik · UEFA Champions League2-2D
Jul 7, 2026Vikingur Reykjavik · UEFA Champions League0-1L

Riga

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026Gyori ETO FC · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 28, 2026Vardar Skopje · UEFA Conference League5-2W
Jul 22, 2026Vardar Skopje · UEFA Conference League3-2W
Jul 14, 2026Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Champions League3-2W
Jul 7, 2026Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Champions League0-2L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Riga 1-0 Gyori ETO FCUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Gyori ETO FC

No absences reported.

Riga

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Gyori ETO FC vs Riga prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Gyori ETO FC a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Riga 27%. Gyori ETO FC are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Gyori ETO FC vs Riga?

1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.4%) and 0-1 (8.0%).

Will both teams score in Gyori ETO FC vs Riga?

The probability that both Gyori ETO FC and Riga score is 52%. Gyori ETO FC have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Riga 22%.

How many goals should we expect in Gyori ETO FC vs Riga?

The model expects 2.62 goals (1.52 for Gyori ETO FC, 1.10 for Riga). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Gyori ETO FC vs Riga played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: ETO Park, Gyor.

What form are Gyori ETO FC and Riga in?

Gyori ETO FC: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 7 conceded). Riga: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Gyori ETO FC and Riga?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Gyori ETO FC, 1 for Riga and 0 draws. The most recent ended Riga 1-0 Gyori ETO FC (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the Gyori ETO FC vs Riga result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Gyori ETO FC 1-1 Riga. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Gyori ETO FC (47%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

How is the Gyori ETO FC vs Riga prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.52 for Gyori ETO FC, 1.10 for Riga) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained