Skip to content
Elofoot

UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 13, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius: 4-0 result and AI prediction review

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split4 – 0FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: HNK Hajduk Split 4-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for HNK Hajduk Split at 76%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

HNK Hajduk Split and FK Zalgiris Vilnius met on Thursday, August 13, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Stadion Poljud, Split. Before kick-off, our model gave HNK Hajduk Split a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and FK Zalgiris Vilnius 9%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, HNK Hajduk Split have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, FK Zalgiris Vilnius have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Both sides come in with similar form. On average HNK Hajduk Split score 2.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; FK Zalgiris Vilnius score 2.80 and concede 2.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for HNK Hajduk Split, 0 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius and 0 draws. The most recent ended FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-5 HNK Hajduk Split (Aug 6, 2026). In double chance terms, "HNK Hajduk Split or draw" stands at 91%, "FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw" at 24% and "no draw" at 85%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

76%
HNK Hajduk Split (Win)
15%
Draw
9%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (Win)

Double chance

91%
HNK Hajduk Split or draw
24%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw
85%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as HNK Hajduk Split – FK Zalgiris Vilnius. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
HNK Hajduk Split 1-1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius11.9%
HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius11.3%
HNK Hajduk Split 2-1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius9.5%
HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius9.0%
HNK Hajduk Split 0-1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius7.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.59 expected goals for HNK Hajduk Split and 1.05 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. HNK Hajduk Split keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, FK Zalgiris Vilnius in 20%.

Probability
HNK Hajduk Split expected goals1.59
FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected goals1.05
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
HNK Hajduk Split clean sheet35%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

HNK Hajduk Split

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026FK Zalgiris Vilnius · UEFA Conference League5-2W
Jul 30, 2026Pafos · UEFA Europa League0-2L
Jul 23, 2026Pafos · UEFA Europa League2-0W
Jul 16, 2026Žilina · UEFA Europa League1-2L
Jul 9, 2026Žilina · UEFA Europa League2-0W

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

DateOpponentScore
Aug 6, 2026HNK Hajduk Split · UEFA Conference League2-5L
Jul 30, 2026Dinamo Tbilisi · UEFA Conference League7-2W
Jul 23, 2026Dinamo Tbilisi · UEFA Conference League0-3L
Jul 16, 2026Petrovac · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Jul 9, 2026Petrovac · UEFA Conference League3-1W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-5 HNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

HNK Hajduk Split

No absences reported.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave HNK Hajduk Split a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and FK Zalgiris Vilnius 9%. HNK Hajduk Split are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-0.

What is the most likely correct score for HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

1-1 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.0%) and 0-1 (7.5%).

Will both teams score in HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

The probability that both HNK Hajduk Split and FK Zalgiris Vilnius score is 52%. HNK Hajduk Split have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 20%.

How many goals should we expect in HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

The model expects 2.64 goals (1.59 for HNK Hajduk Split, 1.05 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius played?

Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Stadion Poljud, Split.

What form are HNK Hajduk Split and FK Zalgiris Vilnius in?

HNK Hajduk Split: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded). FK Zalgiris Vilnius: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 12 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between HNK Hajduk Split and FK Zalgiris Vilnius?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for HNK Hajduk Split, 0 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius and 0 draws. The most recent ended FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-5 HNK Hajduk Split (Aug 6, 2026).

What was the HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: HNK Hajduk Split 4-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for HNK Hajduk Split at 76%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.59 for HNK Hajduk Split, 1.05 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained