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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna: 2-2 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: Heart Of Midlothian 2-2 Rapid Vienna. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Heart Of Midlothian (66%), while a draw was rated at only 20%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.0%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): correct.

Match analysis

Heart Of Midlothian and Rapid Vienna met on Thursday, August 20, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh. Before kick-off, our model gave Heart Of Midlothian a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rapid Vienna 14%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.8%).

Heart Of Midlothian have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 14. Rapid Vienna are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 18 and conceding 6. Rapid Vienna therefore arrive in far better shape than Heart Of Midlothian. On average Heart Of Midlothian score 0.80 and concede 2.80 goals per game; Rapid Vienna score 3.60 and concede 1.20.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Heart Of Midlothian and Rapid Vienna: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Heart Of Midlothian or draw" stands at 86%, "Rapid Vienna or draw" at 34% and "no draw" at 80%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

66%
Heart Of Midlothian (Win)
20%
Draw
14%
Rapid Vienna (Win)

Double chance

86%
Heart Of Midlothian or draw
34%
Rapid Vienna or draw
80%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Heart Of Midlothian – Rapid Vienna. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Heart Of Midlothian 2-0 Rapid Vienna11.9%
Heart Of Midlothian 1-0 Rapid Vienna11.7%
Heart Of Midlothian 2-1 Rapid Vienna9.8%
Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 Rapid Vienna9.6%
Heart Of Midlothian 3-0 Rapid Vienna8.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.03 expected goals for Heart Of Midlothian and 0.82 for Rapid Vienna, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 54% and "both teams to score" at 49%. Heart Of Midlothian keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Rapid Vienna in 13%.

Probability
Heart Of Midlothian expected goals2.03
Rapid Vienna expected goals0.82
Both teams to score49%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Heart Of Midlothian clean sheet44%
Rapid Vienna clean sheet13%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Heart Of Midlothian

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026Benfica · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Aug 6, 2026Benfica · UEFA Europa League1-6L
Jul 28, 2026Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jul 21, 2026Sturm Graz · UEFA Champions League0-4L
Jul 17, 2026Rayo Vallecano · Club Friendlies2-1W

Rapid Vienna

DateOpponentScore
Aug 12, 2026Paide · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Aug 6, 2026Paide · UEFA Conference League4-1W
Jul 29, 2026FC Santa Coloma · UEFA Conference League6-2W
Jul 23, 2026FC Santa Coloma · UEFA Conference League3-1W
Jul 18, 2026Hamburger SV · Club Friendlies3-2W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Heart Of Midlothian and Rapid Vienna: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Heart Of Midlothian

No absences reported.

Rapid Vienna

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Heart Of Midlothian a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rapid Vienna 14%. Heart Of Midlothian are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna?

2-0 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.7%), 2-1 (9.8%), 1-1 (9.6%) and 3-0 (8.1%).

Will both teams score in Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna?

The probability that both Heart Of Midlothian and Rapid Vienna score is 49%. Heart Of Midlothian have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Rapid Vienna 13%.

How many goals should we expect in Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna?

The model expects 2.85 goals (2.03 for Heart Of Midlothian, 0.82 for Rapid Vienna). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.

When and where is Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna played?

Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh.

What form are Heart Of Midlothian and Rapid Vienna in?

Heart Of Midlothian: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 14 conceded). Rapid Vienna: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (18 scored, 6 conceded).

What was the Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Heart Of Midlothian 2-2 Rapid Vienna. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Heart Of Midlothian (66%), while a draw was rated at only 20%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.0%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): correct.

How is the Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.03 for Heart Of Midlothian, 0.82 for Rapid Vienna) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained