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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)

FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: 2-1 result and AI prediction review

FC LuganoFC Lugano2 – 1Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: FC Lugano 2-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for FC Lugano was the model's favourite outcome (41%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv was played on Thursday, August 20, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: AIL Arena, Lugano. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Lugano a 41% chance of winning, the draw 36% and Maccabi Tel Aviv 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

FC Lugano are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 11 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with FC Lugano. On average FC Lugano score 2.20 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Maccabi Tel Aviv score 1.80 and concede 1.00.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Lugano and Maccabi Tel Aviv: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "FC Lugano or draw" stands at 77%, "Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 64%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

41%
FC Lugano (Win)
36%
Draw
23%
Maccabi Tel Aviv (Win)

Double chance

77%
FC Lugano or draw
59%
Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw
64%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FC Lugano – Maccabi Tel Aviv. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FC Lugano 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv11.7%
FC Lugano 1-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv11.5%
FC Lugano 2-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv9.6%
FC Lugano 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv9.4%
FC Lugano 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.64 for FC Lugano, 1.02 for Maccabi Tel Aviv): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. FC Lugano keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Maccabi Tel Aviv in 19%.

Probability
FC Lugano expected goals1.64
Maccabi Tel Aviv expected goals1.02
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
FC Lugano clean sheet36%
Maccabi Tel Aviv clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FC Lugano

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026NSI Runavik · UEFA Conference League2-2D
Aug 6, 2026NSI Runavik · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 29, 2026Dukagjini · UEFA Conference League5-1W
Jul 23, 2026Dukagjini · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 10, 20261. FC Heidenheim · Club Friendlies1-0W

Maccabi Tel Aviv

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026CSKA Sofia · UEFA Europa League3-1W
Aug 6, 2026CSKA Sofia · UEFA Europa League0-3L
Jul 30, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Jul 23, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Europa League5-0W
Jul 3, 2026IMT Novi Beograd · Club Friendlies0-1L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Lugano and Maccabi Tel Aviv: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

FC Lugano

No absences reported.

Maccabi Tel Aviv

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FC Lugano a 41% chance of winning, the draw 36% and Maccabi Tel Aviv 23%. FC Lugano are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-1.

What is the most likely correct score for FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

The probability that both FC Lugano and Maccabi Tel Aviv score is 52%. FC Lugano have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Maccabi Tel Aviv 19%.

How many goals should we expect in FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for FC Lugano, 1.02 for Maccabi Tel Aviv). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv played?

Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: AIL Arena, Lugano.

What form are FC Lugano and Maccabi Tel Aviv in?

FC Lugano: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 3 conceded). Maccabi Tel Aviv: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).

What was the FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FC Lugano 2-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for FC Lugano was the model's favourite outcome (41%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for FC Lugano, 1.02 for Maccabi Tel Aviv) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained