UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco: 2-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Monaco. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Monaco at 41%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
Match analysis
Gornik Zabrze and Monaco met on Thursday, August 20, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze. Before kick-off, our model gave Gornik Zabrze a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Monaco 41%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.5%), followed by 0-1 (10.3%) and 1-0 (9.2%).
Gornik Zabrze have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Monaco have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Gornik Zabrze score 0.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Monaco score 1.20 and concede 1.60.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Gornik Zabrze and Monaco: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Gornik Zabrze or draw" stands at 59%, "Monaco or draw" at 67% and "no draw" at 74%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Gornik Zabrze – Monaco. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Monaco | 12.5% |
| Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Monaco | 10.3% |
| Gornik Zabrze 1-0 Monaco | 9.2% |
| Gornik Zabrze 1-2 Monaco | 8.6% |
| Gornik Zabrze 2-1 Monaco | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.22 expected goals for Gornik Zabrze and 1.37 for Monaco, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Gornik Zabrze keep a clean sheet in 25% of scenarios, Monaco in 30%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze expected goals | 1.22 |
| Monaco expected goals | 1.37 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Gornik Zabrze clean sheet | 25% |
| Monaco clean sheet | 30% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Gornik Zabrze
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC · UEFA Europa League | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 10, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
Monaco
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Coventry · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Liverpool · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Getafe · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cercle Brugge · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sporting CP · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Gornik Zabrze and Monaco: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Gornik Zabrze
No absences reported.
Monaco
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- KI Klaksvik 0-0 RigaAug 20, 2026
- PAOK 1-1 BrannAug 20, 2026
- Drita 2-2 Inter Club d'EscaldesAug 20, 2026
- Twente 0-1 QarabagAug 20, 2026
- Vikingur Reykjavik 1-3 Borac Banja LukaAug 20, 2026
- FC Sion 2-4 AjaxAug 20, 2026
- Panathinaikos 2-2 Hradec KrálovéAug 20, 2026
- Motherwell 1-3 SC FreiburgAug 20, 2026
- Atalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel AvivAug 20, 2026
- FC Lugano 2-1 Maccabi Tel AvivAug 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Gornik Zabrze a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Monaco 41%. Monaco are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?
1-1 (12.5%), followed by 0-1 (10.3%), 1-0 (9.2%), 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?
The probability that both Gornik Zabrze and Monaco score is 53%. Gornik Zabrze have a 25% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Monaco 30%.
How many goals should we expect in Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?
The model expects 2.59 goals (1.22 for Gornik Zabrze, 1.37 for Monaco). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco played?
Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze.
What form are Gornik Zabrze and Monaco in?
Gornik Zabrze: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded). Monaco: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 8 conceded).
What was the Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Gornik Zabrze 2-3 Monaco. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Monaco at 41%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
How is the Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.22 for Gornik Zabrze, 1.37 for Monaco) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Gornik Zabrze predictions
- All Monaco predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology