UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 18:45 (UK time)
PAOK vs Brann: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: PAOK 1-1 Brann. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for PAOK (48%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
Match analysis
PAOK and Brann met on Thursday, August 20, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki. Before kick-off, our model gave PAOK a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Brann 27%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, PAOK have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Brann have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average PAOK score 1.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Brann score 2.00 and concede 1.60.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for PAOK, 0 for Brann and 1 draw. The most recent ended PAOK 1-1 Brann (Nov 27, 2025). Brann: N. Boakye, S. Magnusson, U. Mathisen, R. Matondo and S. Opsahl. In double chance terms, "PAOK or draw" stands at 73%, "Brann or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as PAOK – Brann. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PAOK 1-1 Brann | 12.1% |
| PAOK 1-0 Brann | 11.1% |
| PAOK 2-1 Brann | 9.3% |
| PAOK 2-0 Brann | 8.5% |
| PAOK 0-1 Brann | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.53 expected goals for PAOK and 1.09 for Brann, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. PAOK keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Brann in 22%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| PAOK expected goals | 1.53 |
| Brann expected goals | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| PAOK clean sheet | 34% |
| Brann clean sheet | 22% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
PAOK
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Anderlecht · UEFA Europa League | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Anderlecht · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv · UEFA Europa League | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv · UEFA Europa League | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Twente · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
Brann
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Apollon Limassol · UEFA Conference League | 4-2 | W |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Apollon Limassol · UEFA Conference League | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj · UEFA Conference League | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj · UEFA Conference League | 2-2 | D |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Kristiansund BK · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | PAOK 1-1 Brann | UEFA Europa League |
Out and doubtful
PAOK
No absences reported.
Brann
- N. Boakye (out)
- S. Magnusson (out)
- U. Mathisen (out)
- R. Matondo (out)
- S. Opsahl (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Tromso 0-0 BrightonAug 20, 2026
- KI Klaksvik 0-0 RigaAug 20, 2026
- Gornik Zabrze 2-3 MonacoAug 20, 2026
- Drita 2-2 Inter Club d'EscaldesAug 20, 2026
- Twente 0-1 QarabagAug 20, 2026
- Vikingur Reykjavik 1-3 Borac Banja LukaAug 20, 2026
- FC Sion 2-4 AjaxAug 20, 2026
- Panathinaikos 2-2 Hradec KrálovéAug 20, 2026
- Motherwell 1-3 SC FreiburgAug 20, 2026
- Atalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel AvivAug 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the PAOK vs Brann prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave PAOK a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Brann 27%. PAOK are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for PAOK vs Brann?
1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.5%) and 0-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in PAOK vs Brann?
The probability that both PAOK and Brann score is 52%. PAOK have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Brann 22%.
How many goals should we expect in PAOK vs Brann?
The model expects 2.62 goals (1.53 for PAOK, 1.09 for Brann). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is PAOK vs Brann played?
Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 18:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki.
What form are PAOK and Brann in?
PAOK: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 9 conceded). Brann: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between PAOK and Brann?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for PAOK, 0 for Brann and 1 draw. The most recent ended PAOK 1-1 Brann (Nov 27, 2025).
What was the PAOK vs Brann result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: PAOK 1-1 Brann. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for PAOK (48%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
How is the PAOK vs Brann prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.53 for PAOK, 1.09 for Brann) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All PAOK predictions
- All Brann predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology