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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)

Vikingur Reykjavik vs Borac Banja Luka: 1-3 result and AI prediction review

Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik1 – 3Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Vikingur Reykjavik 1-3 Borac Banja Luka. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Vikingur Reykjavik (50%), while victory for Borac Banja Luka was rated at only 25%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Vikingur Reykjavik and Borac Banja Luka met on Thursday, August 20, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Víkingsvollur Stadium, Reykjavik. Before kick-off, our model gave Vikingur Reykjavik a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Borac Banja Luka 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, Vikingur Reykjavik have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Borac Banja Luka have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Vikingur Reykjavik score 1.40 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Borac Banja Luka score 1.40 and concede 1.60.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Vikingur Reykjavik, 0 for Borac Banja Luka and 0 draws. In double chance terms, "Vikingur Reykjavik or draw" stands at 75%, "Borac Banja Luka or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

50%
Vikingur Reykjavik (Win)
25%
Draw
25%
Borac Banja Luka (Win)

Double chance

75%
Vikingur Reykjavik or draw
50%
Borac Banja Luka or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Vikingur Reykjavik – Borac Banja Luka. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Vikingur Reykjavik 1-1 Borac Banja Luka11.9%
Vikingur Reykjavik 1-0 Borac Banja Luka11.3%
Vikingur Reykjavik 2-1 Borac Banja Luka9.5%
Vikingur Reykjavik 2-0 Borac Banja Luka9.0%
Vikingur Reykjavik 0-1 Borac Banja Luka7.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.59 expected goals for Vikingur Reykjavik and 1.05 for Borac Banja Luka, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Vikingur Reykjavik keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Borac Banja Luka in 20%.

Probability
Vikingur Reykjavik expected goals1.59
Borac Banja Luka expected goals1.05
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Vikingur Reykjavik clean sheet35%
Borac Banja Luka clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Vikingur Reykjavik

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026FC Thun · UEFA Europa League3-2W
Aug 6, 2026FC Thun · UEFA Europa League0-3L
Jul 29, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jul 21, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Champions League2-1W
Jul 14, 2026Gyori ETO FC · UEFA Champions League2-2D

Borac Banja Luka

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026ML Vitebsk · UEFA Conference League0-1L
Aug 6, 2026ML Vitebsk · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 30, 2026Petrocub · UEFA Conference League3-3D
Jul 23, 2026Petrocub · UEFA Conference League3-0W
Jul 14, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League0-4L

Head-to-head

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Vikingur Reykjavik, 0 for Borac Banja Luka and 0 draws.

Out and doubtful

Vikingur Reykjavik

No absences reported.

Borac Banja Luka

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Vikingur Reykjavik vs Borac Banja Luka prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Vikingur Reykjavik a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Borac Banja Luka 25%. Vikingur Reykjavik are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Borac Banja Luka?

1-1 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.0%) and 0-1 (7.5%).

Will both teams score in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Borac Banja Luka?

The probability that both Vikingur Reykjavik and Borac Banja Luka score is 52%. Vikingur Reykjavik have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Borac Banja Luka 20%.

How many goals should we expect in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Borac Banja Luka?

The model expects 2.64 goals (1.59 for Vikingur Reykjavik, 1.05 for Borac Banja Luka). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Vikingur Reykjavik vs Borac Banja Luka played?

Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Víkingsvollur Stadium, Reykjavik.

What form are Vikingur Reykjavik and Borac Banja Luka in?

Vikingur Reykjavik: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded). Borac Banja Luka: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Vikingur Reykjavik and Borac Banja Luka?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Vikingur Reykjavik, 0 for Borac Banja Luka and 0 draws.

What was the Vikingur Reykjavik vs Borac Banja Luka result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Vikingur Reykjavik 1-3 Borac Banja Luka. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Vikingur Reykjavik (50%), while victory for Borac Banja Luka was rated at only 25%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Vikingur Reykjavik vs Borac Banja Luka prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.59 for Vikingur Reykjavik, 1.05 for Borac Banja Luka) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained