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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 19:15 (UK time)

FC Sion vs Ajax: 2-4 result and AI prediction review

FC SionFC Sion2 – 4AjaxAjax

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: FC Sion 2-4 Ajax. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Ajax was the model's favourite outcome (53%). The model considered this score unlikely (2.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): correct.

Match analysis

FC Sion vs Ajax was played on Thursday, August 20, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Stade de Tourbillon, Sion. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Sion a 25% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ajax 53%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (9.7%), ahead of 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (7.5%).

FC Sion are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 13 and conceding 4. Ajax are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average FC Sion score 2.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Ajax score 2.40 and concede 1.20.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Sion and Ajax: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Ajax: D. Blind, A. Kaplan, J. Sutalo and A. van Axel Dongen. In double chance terms, "FC Sion or draw" stands at 47%, "Ajax or draw" at 75% and "no draw" at 78%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

25%
FC Sion (Win)
22%
Draw
53%
Ajax (Win)

Double chance

47%
FC Sion or draw
75%
Ajax or draw
78%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FC Sion – Ajax. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 41% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FC Sion 1-1 Ajax9.7%
FC Sion 1-2 Ajax9.6%
FC Sion 0-1 Ajax7.5%
FC Sion 0-2 Ajax7.5%
FC Sion 1-3 Ajax6.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.27 goals in total (1.29 for FC Sion, 1.98 for Ajax): over 2.5 goals has a 64% probability and both teams to score 63%. Everything points to an open game. FC Sion keep a clean sheet in 14% of scenarios, Ajax in 28%.

Probability
FC Sion expected goals1.29
Ajax expected goals1.98
Both teams to score63%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals41%
FC Sion clean sheet14%
Ajax clean sheet28%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FC Sion

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026FC Noah · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Aug 6, 2026FC Noah · UEFA Conference League2-2D
Jul 30, 2026Bate Borisov · UEFA Conference League4-0W
Jul 23, 2026Bate Borisov · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 17, 2026Annecy · Club Friendlies4-0W

Ajax

DateOpponentScore
Aug 16, 2026Heerenveen · Eredivisie2-2D
Aug 13, 2026Shelbourne · UEFA Conference League2-2D
Aug 9, 2026PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie2-0W
Aug 6, 2026Shelbourne · UEFA Conference League3-1W
Aug 2, 2026FC Volendam · Club Friendlies3-1W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Sion and Ajax: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

FC Sion

No absences reported.

Ajax

  • D. Blind (out)
  • A. Kaplan (out)
  • J. Sutalo (out)
  • A. van Axel Dongen (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FC Sion vs Ajax prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FC Sion a 25% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ajax 53%. Ajax are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-4.

What is the most likely correct score for FC Sion vs Ajax?

1-1 (9.7%), followed by 1-2 (9.6%), 0-1 (7.5%), 0-2 (7.5%) and 1-3 (6.3%).

Will both teams score in FC Sion vs Ajax?

The probability that both FC Sion and Ajax score is 63%. FC Sion have a 14% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Ajax 28%.

How many goals should we expect in FC Sion vs Ajax?

The model expects 3.27 goals (1.29 for FC Sion, 1.98 for Ajax). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 41%.

When and where is FC Sion vs Ajax played?

Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 19:15 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Stade de Tourbillon, Sion.

What form are FC Sion and Ajax in?

FC Sion: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 4 conceded). Ajax: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded).

What was the FC Sion vs Ajax result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FC Sion 2-4 Ajax. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Ajax was the model's favourite outcome (53%). The model considered this score unlikely (2.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): correct.

How is the FC Sion vs Ajax prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.29 for FC Sion, 1.98 for Ajax) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained