UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Dinamo Tirana 1-1 Pafos. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Dinamo Tirana (55%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.3%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): missed.
Match analysis
Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos was played on Thursday, August 20, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Elbasan Arena, Elbasani. Before kick-off, our model gave Dinamo Tirana a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pafos 21%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, Dinamo Tirana have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 3. Pafos have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Dinamo Tirana. On average Dinamo Tirana score 2.40 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Pafos score 1.00 and concede 1.20.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Dinamo Tirana and Pafos: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Dinamo Tirana or draw" stands at 79%, "Pafos or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Dinamo Tirana – Pafos. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dinamo Tirana 1-0 Pafos | 11.6% |
| Dinamo Tirana 1-1 Pafos | 11.3% |
| Dinamo Tirana 2-0 Pafos | 10.1% |
| Dinamo Tirana 2-1 Pafos | 9.8% |
| Dinamo Tirana 0-0 Pafos | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.70 goals in total (1.73 for Dinamo Tirana, 0.97 for Pafos): over 2.5 goals has a 51% probability and both teams to score 51%. Dinamo Tirana keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Pafos in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Dinamo Tirana expected goals | 1.73 |
| Pafos expected goals | 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Dinamo Tirana clean sheet | 38% |
| Pafos clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Dinamo Tirana
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Auda · UEFA Conference League | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Auda · UEFA Conference League | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aluminij · UEFA Conference League | 3-0 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Aluminij · UEFA Conference League | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 16, 2026 | FC Astana · UEFA Conference League | 4-1 | W |
Pafos
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Europa League | 3-3 | D |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 30, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split · UEFA Europa League | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split · UEFA Europa League | 0-2 | L |
| Jul 8, 2026 | FK Jablonec · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Dinamo Tirana and Pafos: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Dinamo Tirana
No absences reported.
Pafos
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Panathinaikos 2-2 Hradec KrálovéAug 20, 2026
- Motherwell 1-3 SC FreiburgAug 20, 2026
- Atalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel AvivAug 20, 2026
- FC Lugano 2-1 Maccabi Tel AvivAug 20, 2026
- Heart Of Midlothian 2-2 Rapid ViennaAug 20, 2026
- Rangers 1-0 FK JablonecAug 20, 2026
- Getafe 3-1 FK PartizanAug 20, 2026
- SC Braga 2-0 Austria ViennaAug 20, 2026
- Shamrock Rovers 1-1 KuPSAug 20, 2026
- HNK Hajduk Split 2-2 Raków CzęstochowaAug 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Dinamo Tirana a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pafos 21%. Dinamo Tirana are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%), 2-0 (10.1%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos?
The probability that both Dinamo Tirana and Pafos score is 51%. Dinamo Tirana have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Pafos 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos?
The model expects 2.70 goals (1.73 for Dinamo Tirana, 0.97 for Pafos). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos played?
Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Elbasan Arena, Elbasani.
What form are Dinamo Tirana and Pafos in?
Dinamo Tirana: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 3 conceded). Pafos: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).
What was the Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Dinamo Tirana 1-1 Pafos. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Dinamo Tirana (55%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.3%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): missed.
How is the Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.73 for Dinamo Tirana, 0.97 for Pafos) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Dinamo Tirana predictions
- All Pafos predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology