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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers1 – 1KuPSKuPS

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Shamrock Rovers 1-1 KuPS. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Shamrock Rovers (37%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

Match analysis

Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS was played on Thursday, August 20, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Tallaght Stadium, Dublin. Before kick-off, our model gave Shamrock Rovers a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and KuPS 36%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.6%), ahead of 1-0 (9.8%) and 0-1 (9.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, Shamrock Rovers have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 10. KuPS have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with Shamrock Rovers. On average Shamrock Rovers score 2.20 and concede 2.00 goals per game; KuPS score 0.80 and concede 1.80. In the table, Shamrock Rovers sit 31st with 4 points from 6 games, KuPS 21st with 7 points from 6. 10 places separate the two sides.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Shamrock Rovers and KuPS: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Shamrock Rovers or draw" stands at 64%, "KuPS or draw" at 63% and "no draw" at 73%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

37%
Shamrock Rovers (Win)
27%
Draw
36%
KuPS (Win)

Double chance

64%
Shamrock Rovers or draw
63%
KuPS or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Shamrock Rovers – KuPS. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Shamrock Rovers 1-1 KuPS12.6%
Shamrock Rovers 1-0 KuPS9.8%
Shamrock Rovers 0-1 KuPS9.6%
Shamrock Rovers 2-1 KuPS8.2%
Shamrock Rovers 1-2 KuPS8.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.59 goals in total (1.31 for Shamrock Rovers, 1.28 for KuPS): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 53%. Shamrock Rovers keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, KuPS in 27%.

Probability
Shamrock Rovers expected goals1.31
KuPS expected goals1.28
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Shamrock Rovers clean sheet28%
KuPS clean sheet27%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Shamrock Rovers

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë · UEFA Europa League1-5L
Aug 4, 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë · UEFA Europa League3-1W
Jul 28, 2026Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Champions League2-1W
Jul 21, 2026Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jul 14, 2026Floriana · UEFA Champions League5-1W

KuPS

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Europa League1-2L
Aug 6, 2026Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Jul 28, 2026Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jul 21, 2026Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 14, 2026Vardar Skopje · UEFA Champions League2-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Shamrock Rovers3146
KuPS2176

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Shamrock Rovers and KuPS: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Shamrock Rovers

No absences reported.

KuPS

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Shamrock Rovers a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and KuPS 36%. Shamrock Rovers are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?

1-1 (12.6%), followed by 1-0 (9.8%), 0-1 (9.6%), 2-1 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.1%).

Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?

The probability that both Shamrock Rovers and KuPS score is 53%. Shamrock Rovers have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, KuPS 27%.

How many goals should we expect in Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS?

The model expects 2.59 goals (1.31 for Shamrock Rovers, 1.28 for KuPS). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS played?

Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Tallaght Stadium, Dublin.

What form are Shamrock Rovers and KuPS in?

Shamrock Rovers: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 10 conceded). KuPS: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 9 conceded).

What was the Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Shamrock Rovers 1-1 KuPS. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Shamrock Rovers (37%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

How is the Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.31 for Shamrock Rovers, 1.28 for KuPS) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained