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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)

Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos1 – 1CSKA 1948CSKA 1948

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Panathinaikos 1-1 CSKA 1948. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Panathinaikos (84%), while a draw was rated at only 12%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 met on Wednesday, August 5, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens. Before kick-off, our model gave Panathinaikos a 84% chance of winning, the draw 12% and CSKA 1948 4%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, Panathinaikos have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 8. CSKA 1948 have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Panathinaikos therefore arrive in far better shape than CSKA 1948. On average Panathinaikos score 2.20 and concede 1.60 goals per game; CSKA 1948 score 0.80 and concede 0.80.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Panathinaikos, 0 for CSKA 1948 and 0 draws. In double chance terms, "Panathinaikos or draw" stands at 96%, "CSKA 1948 or draw" at 16% and "no draw" at 88%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

84%
Panathinaikos (Win)
12%
Draw
4%
CSKA 1948 (Win)

Double chance

96%
Panathinaikos or draw
16%
CSKA 1948 or draw
88%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Panathinaikos – CSKA 1948. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Panathinaikos 1-1 CSKA 194811.7%
Panathinaikos 1-0 CSKA 194811.5%
Panathinaikos 2-1 CSKA 19489.6%
Panathinaikos 2-0 CSKA 19489.4%
Panathinaikos 0-1 CSKA 19487.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.64 expected goals for Panathinaikos and 1.02 for CSKA 1948, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Panathinaikos keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, CSKA 1948 in 19%.

Probability
Panathinaikos expected goals1.64
CSKA 1948 expected goals1.02
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Panathinaikos clean sheet36%
CSKA 1948 clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Panathinaikos

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026Paks · UEFA Conference League2-2D
Jul 23, 2026Paks · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Jul 4, 2026Ajax · Club Friendlies3-1W
Jul 1, 2026Helmond Sport · Club Friendlies4-0W
Mar 19, 2026Real Betis · UEFA Europa League0-4L

CSKA 1948

DateOpponentScore
Jul 28, 2026Spartak Trnava · UEFA Conference League0-0D
Jul 22, 2026Spartak Trnava · UEFA Conference League0-0D
Jul 7, 2026Železničar Pančevo · Club Friendlies1-0W
Jul 4, 2026NK Varazdin · Club Friendlies0-1L
Jul 1, 2026Maribor · Club Friendlies3-3D

Head-to-head

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Panathinaikos, 0 for CSKA 1948 and 0 draws.

Out and doubtful

Panathinaikos

No absences reported.

CSKA 1948

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Panathinaikos a 84% chance of winning, the draw 12% and CSKA 1948 4%. Panathinaikos are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948?

1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948?

The probability that both Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 score is 52%. Panathinaikos have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, CSKA 1948 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for Panathinaikos, 1.02 for CSKA 1948). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 played?

Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens.

What form are Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948 in?

Panathinaikos: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 8 conceded). CSKA 1948: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Panathinaikos and CSKA 1948?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Panathinaikos, 0 for CSKA 1948 and 0 draws.

What was the Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Panathinaikos 1-1 CSKA 1948. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Panathinaikos (84%), while a draw was rated at only 12%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948 prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Panathinaikos, 1.02 for CSKA 1948) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained