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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

FK JablonecFK Jablonec2 – 0Rīgas FSRīgas FS

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: FK Jablonec 2-0 Rīgas FS. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FK Jablonec at 51%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

Match analysis

FK Jablonec and Rīgas FS met on Thursday, August 6, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou. Before kick-off, our model gave FK Jablonec a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rīgas FS 24%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, FK Jablonec have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Rīgas FS are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 and conceding 3. Rīgas FS therefore arrive in far better shape than FK Jablonec. On average FK Jablonec score 2.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Rīgas FS score 2.00 and concede 0.60.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FK Jablonec and Rīgas FS: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "FK Jablonec or draw" stands at 76%, "Rīgas FS or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

51%
FK Jablonec (Win)
25%
Draw
24%
Rīgas FS (Win)

Double chance

76%
FK Jablonec or draw
49%
Rīgas FS or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FK Jablonec – Rīgas FS. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FK Jablonec 1-1 Rīgas FS11.8%
FK Jablonec 1-0 Rīgas FS11.4%
FK Jablonec 2-1 Rīgas FS9.5%
FK Jablonec 2-0 Rīgas FS9.2%
FK Jablonec 0-1 Rīgas FS7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.61 expected goals for FK Jablonec and 1.04 for Rīgas FS, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. FK Jablonec keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Rīgas FS in 20%.

Probability
FK Jablonec expected goals1.61
Rīgas FS expected goals1.04
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals28%
FK Jablonec clean sheet35%
Rīgas FS clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FK Jablonec

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026NK Varazdin · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 23, 2026NK Varazdin · UEFA Conference League2-3L
Jul 8, 2026Pafos · Club Friendlies0-0D
Jul 3, 2026Ústí nad Labem · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jun 27, 2026Mlada Boleslav · Club Friendlies5-0W

Rīgas FS

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026Vestri · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 23, 2026Vestri · UEFA Conference League4-1W
Jul 16, 2026Glentoran · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 9, 2026Glentoran · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Feb 28, 2026BFC Daugavpils · Club Friendlies1-0W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FK Jablonec and Rīgas FS: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

FK Jablonec

No absences reported.

Rīgas FS

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FK Jablonec a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rīgas FS 24%. FK Jablonec are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?

1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?

The probability that both FK Jablonec and Rīgas FS score is 52%. FK Jablonec have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Rīgas FS 20%.

How many goals should we expect in FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?

The model expects 2.65 goals (1.61 for FK Jablonec, 1.04 for Rīgas FS). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS played?

Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou.

What form are FK Jablonec and Rīgas FS in?

FK Jablonec: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 4 conceded). Rīgas FS: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 3 conceded).

What was the FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FK Jablonec 2-0 Rīgas FS. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FK Jablonec at 51%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (9.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

How is the FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for FK Jablonec, 1.04 for Rīgas FS) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained