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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split: 2-5 result and AI prediction review

FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius2 – 5HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-1

Final score: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-5 HNK Hajduk Split. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for HNK Hajduk Split at 48%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): missed.

Match analysis

FK Zalgiris Vilnius and HNK Hajduk Split met on Thursday, August 6, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: LFF stadionas, Vilnius. Before kick-off, our model gave FK Zalgiris Vilnius a 25% chance of winning, the draw 27% and HNK Hajduk Split 48%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (13.4%), followed by 1-1 (12.6%) and 0-0 (9.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, FK Zalgiris Vilnius have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, HNK Hajduk Split have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average FK Zalgiris Vilnius score 2.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; HNK Hajduk Split score 1.20 and concede 0.80.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FK Zalgiris Vilnius and HNK Hajduk Split: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw" stands at 52%, "HNK Hajduk Split or draw" at 75% and "no draw" at 73%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

25%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (Win)
27%
Draw
48%
HNK Hajduk Split (Win)

Double chance

52%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius or draw
75%
HNK Hajduk Split or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FK Zalgiris Vilnius – HNK Hajduk Split. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 54% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-1 HNK Hajduk Split13.4%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 HNK Hajduk Split12.6%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 HNK Hajduk Split9.5%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-2 HNK Hajduk Split9.5%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HNK Hajduk Split9.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.94 expected goals for FK Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.41 for HNK Hajduk Split, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 42% and "both teams to score" at 46%. Few goals are expected here. FK Zalgiris Vilnius keep a clean sheet in 24% of scenarios, HNK Hajduk Split in 39%.

Probability
FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected goals0.94
HNK Hajduk Split expected goals1.41
Both teams to score46%
Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius clean sheet24%
HNK Hajduk Split clean sheet39%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026Dinamo Tbilisi · UEFA Conference League7-2W
Jul 23, 2026Dinamo Tbilisi · UEFA Conference League0-3L
Jul 16, 2026Petrovac · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Jul 9, 2026Petrovac · UEFA Conference League3-1W
Feb 14, 2026Ogre United · Club Friendlies2-1W

HNK Hajduk Split

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026Pafos · UEFA Europa League0-2L
Jul 23, 2026Pafos · UEFA Europa League2-0W
Jul 16, 2026Žilina · UEFA Europa League1-2L
Jul 9, 2026Žilina · UEFA Europa League2-0W
Jul 1, 2026Celje · Club Friendlies1-0W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FK Zalgiris Vilnius and HNK Hajduk Split: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

No absences reported.

HNK Hajduk Split

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FK Zalgiris Vilnius a 25% chance of winning, the draw 27% and HNK Hajduk Split 48%. HNK Hajduk Split are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-5.

What is the most likely correct score for FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split?

0-1 (13.4%), followed by 1-1 (12.6%), 0-0 (9.5%), 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9.0%).

Will both teams score in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split?

The probability that both FK Zalgiris Vilnius and HNK Hajduk Split score is 46%. FK Zalgiris Vilnius have a 24% chance of keeping a clean sheet, HNK Hajduk Split 39%.

How many goals should we expect in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split?

The model expects 2.35 goals (0.94 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, 1.41 for HNK Hajduk Split). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 68%, over 2.5 goals 42%, over 3.5 goals 21%.

When and where is FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split played?

Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: LFF stadionas, Vilnius.

What form are FK Zalgiris Vilnius and HNK Hajduk Split in?

FK Zalgiris Vilnius: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 8 conceded). HNK Hajduk Split: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded).

What was the FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-5 HNK Hajduk Split. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for HNK Hajduk Split at 48%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): missed.

How is the FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.94 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, 1.41 for HNK Hajduk Split) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained