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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Riga vs Gyori ETO FC: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

RigaRiga1 – 0Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Riga 1-0 Gyori ETO FC. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Riga at 46%. The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

Riga and Gyori ETO FC met on Thursday, August 6, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Skonto stadions, Riga. Before kick-off, our model gave Riga a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gyori ETO FC 27%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.0%).

Over their last 5 matches, Riga have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Gyori ETO FC have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Riga score 2.40 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Gyori ETO FC score 2.20 and concede 1.40.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Riga and Gyori ETO FC: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Riga or draw" stands at 73%, "Gyori ETO FC or draw" at 54% and "no draw" at 73%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

46%
Riga (Win)
27%
Draw
27%
Gyori ETO FC (Win)

Double chance

73%
Riga or draw
54%
Gyori ETO FC or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Riga – Gyori ETO FC. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Riga 1-0 Gyori ETO FC11.7%
Riga 1-1 Gyori ETO FC11.3%
Riga 2-0 Gyori ETO FC10.0%
Riga 2-1 Gyori ETO FC9.7%
Riga 0-0 Gyori ETO FC6.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.72 expected goals for Riga and 0.97 for Gyori ETO FC, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Riga keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Gyori ETO FC in 18%.

Probability
Riga expected goals1.72
Gyori ETO FC expected goals0.97
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Riga clean sheet38%
Gyori ETO FC clean sheet18%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Riga

DateOpponentScore
Jul 28, 2026Vardar Skopje · UEFA Conference League5-2W
Jul 22, 2026Vardar Skopje · UEFA Conference League3-2W
Jul 14, 2026Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Champions League3-2W
Jul 7, 2026Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Mar 27, 2026Legia Warszawa · Club Friendlies1-3L

Gyori ETO FC

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026Atert Bissen · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 21, 2026Atert Bissen · UEFA Conference League6-2W
Jul 14, 2026Vikingur Reykjavik · UEFA Champions League2-2D
Jul 7, 2026Vikingur Reykjavik · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jun 24, 2026Vojvodina · Club Friendlies2-1W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Riga and Gyori ETO FC: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Riga

No absences reported.

Gyori ETO FC

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Riga vs Gyori ETO FC prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Riga a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gyori ETO FC 27%. Riga are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Riga vs Gyori ETO FC?

1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%), 2-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.8%).

Will both teams score in Riga vs Gyori ETO FC?

The probability that both Riga and Gyori ETO FC score is 51%. Riga have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Gyori ETO FC 18%.

How many goals should we expect in Riga vs Gyori ETO FC?

The model expects 2.69 goals (1.72 for Riga, 0.97 for Gyori ETO FC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Riga vs Gyori ETO FC played?

Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Skonto stadions, Riga.

What form are Riga and Gyori ETO FC in?

Riga: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 11 conceded). Gyori ETO FC: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 7 conceded).

What was the Riga vs Gyori ETO FC result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Riga 1-0 Gyori ETO FC. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Riga at 46%. The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the Riga vs Gyori ETO FC prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.72 for Riga, 0.97 for Gyori ETO FC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained