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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC ST. Gallen: 1-3 result and AI prediction review

Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol1 – 3FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-3 FC ST. Gallen. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Sheriff Tiraspol (50%), while victory for FC ST. Gallen was rated at only 25%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC ST. Gallen was played on Thursday, August 6, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol. Before kick-off, our model gave Sheriff Tiraspol a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC ST. Gallen 25%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.9%), ahead of 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Sheriff Tiraspol have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, FC ST. Gallen have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 15. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Sheriff Tiraspol score 0.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; FC ST. Gallen score 1.20 and concede 3.00.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sheriff Tiraspol and FC ST. Gallen: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Sheriff Tiraspol or draw" stands at 75%, "FC ST. Gallen or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

50%
Sheriff Tiraspol (Win)
25%
Draw
25%
FC ST. Gallen (Win)

Double chance

75%
Sheriff Tiraspol or draw
50%
FC ST. Gallen or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Sheriff Tiraspol – FC ST. Gallen. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Sheriff Tiraspol 1-1 FC ST. Gallen11.9%
Sheriff Tiraspol 1-0 FC ST. Gallen11.3%
Sheriff Tiraspol 2-1 FC ST. Gallen9.5%
Sheriff Tiraspol 2-0 FC ST. Gallen9.0%
Sheriff Tiraspol 0-1 FC ST. Gallen7.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.64 goals in total (1.59 for Sheriff Tiraspol, 1.05 for FC ST. Gallen): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Sheriff Tiraspol keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, FC ST. Gallen in 20%.

Probability
Sheriff Tiraspol expected goals1.59
FC ST. Gallen expected goals1.05
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Sheriff Tiraspol clean sheet35%
FC ST. Gallen clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Sheriff Tiraspol

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026Maccabi Tel Aviv · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Jul 23, 2026Maccabi Tel Aviv · UEFA Europa League0-5L
Jul 16, 2026Aluminij · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Jul 9, 2026Aluminij · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Aug 14, 2025Anderlecht · UEFA Conference League1-1D

FC ST. Gallen

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026Benfica · UEFA Europa League0-5L
Jul 23, 2026Benfica · UEFA Europa League2-1W
Jul 17, 2026Norwich · Club Friendlies0-3L
Jul 11, 2026Lyon · Club Friendlies3-6L
Jul 1, 2026FC Winterthur · Club Friendlies1-0W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sheriff Tiraspol and FC ST. Gallen: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Sheriff Tiraspol

No absences reported.

FC ST. Gallen

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC ST. Gallen prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Sheriff Tiraspol a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC ST. Gallen 25%. Sheriff Tiraspol are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC ST. Gallen?

1-1 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.0%) and 0-1 (7.5%).

Will both teams score in Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC ST. Gallen?

The probability that both Sheriff Tiraspol and FC ST. Gallen score is 52%. Sheriff Tiraspol have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC ST. Gallen 20%.

How many goals should we expect in Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC ST. Gallen?

The model expects 2.64 goals (1.59 for Sheriff Tiraspol, 1.05 for FC ST. Gallen). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC ST. Gallen played?

Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol.

What form are Sheriff Tiraspol and FC ST. Gallen in?

Sheriff Tiraspol: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 7 conceded). FC ST. Gallen: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 15 conceded).

What was the Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC ST. Gallen result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-3 FC ST. Gallen. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Sheriff Tiraspol (50%), while victory for FC ST. Gallen was rated at only 25%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC ST. Gallen prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.59 for Sheriff Tiraspol, 1.05 for FC ST. Gallen) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained