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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv1 – 0QarabagQarabag

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 Qarabag. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Dynamo Kyiv was the model's favourite outcome (45%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

Match analysis

Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag was played on Thursday, August 6, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin. Before kick-off, our model gave Dynamo Kyiv a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Qarabag 28%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.6%), ahead of 1-0 (10.1%) and 0-1 (9.5%).

Dynamo Kyiv have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Qarabag have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 1. Recent momentum is clearly with Qarabag. On average Dynamo Kyiv score 1.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Qarabag score 1.20 and concede 0.20.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Dynamo Kyiv and Qarabag: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Dynamo Kyiv or draw" stands at 72%, "Qarabag or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 73%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

45%
Dynamo Kyiv (Win)
27%
Draw
28%
Qarabag (Win)

Double chance

72%
Dynamo Kyiv or draw
55%
Qarabag or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Dynamo Kyiv – Qarabag. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Dynamo Kyiv 1-1 Qarabag12.6%
Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 Qarabag10.1%
Dynamo Kyiv 0-1 Qarabag9.5%
Dynamo Kyiv 2-1 Qarabag8.4%
Dynamo Kyiv 1-2 Qarabag7.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.58 goals in total (1.33 for Dynamo Kyiv, 1.25 for Qarabag): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 53%. Dynamo Kyiv keep a clean sheet in 29% of scenarios, Qarabag in 26%.

Probability
Dynamo Kyiv expected goals1.33
Qarabag expected goals1.25
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Dynamo Kyiv clean sheet29%
Qarabag clean sheet26%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Dynamo Kyiv

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026PAOK · UEFA Europa League0-2L
Jul 23, 2026PAOK · UEFA Europa League2-3L
Jul 16, 2026Universitatea Cluj · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Jul 10, 2026Radomiak Radom · Club Friendlies4-2W
Jul 9, 2026Universitatea Cluj · UEFA Europa League0-0D

Qarabag

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026CSKA Sofia · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Jul 23, 2026CSKA Sofia · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Jul 16, 2026Vestri · UEFA Europa League3-0W
Jul 9, 2026Vestri · UEFA Europa League3-0W
Jul 1, 2026Ferencvarosi TC · Club Friendlies0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Dynamo Kyiv2766

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Dynamo Kyiv and Qarabag: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Dynamo Kyiv

No absences reported.

Qarabag

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Dynamo Kyiv a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Qarabag 28%. Dynamo Kyiv are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag?

1-1 (12.6%), followed by 1-0 (10.1%), 0-1 (9.5%), 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.9%).

Will both teams score in Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag?

The probability that both Dynamo Kyiv and Qarabag score is 53%. Dynamo Kyiv have a 29% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Qarabag 26%.

How many goals should we expect in Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag?

The model expects 2.58 goals (1.33 for Dynamo Kyiv, 1.25 for Qarabag). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag played?

Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin.

What form are Dynamo Kyiv and Qarabag in?

Dynamo Kyiv: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded). Qarabag: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 1 conceded).

What was the Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 Qarabag. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Dynamo Kyiv was the model's favourite outcome (45%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

How is the Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.33 for Dynamo Kyiv, 1.25 for Qarabag) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained