UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: HJK Helsinki 1-1 Motherwell. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for HJK Helsinki (53%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.6%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
Match analysis
HJK Helsinki and Motherwell met on Thursday, August 6, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Bolt Arena, Helsinki. Before kick-off, our model gave HJK Helsinki a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Motherwell 23%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (9.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, HJK Helsinki have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 4. Over their last 4 matches, Motherwell have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 8. HJK Helsinki therefore arrive in far better shape than Motherwell. On average HJK Helsinki score 2.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Motherwell score 2.00 and concede 2.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between HJK Helsinki and Motherwell: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "HJK Helsinki or draw" stands at 77%, "Motherwell or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as HJK Helsinki – Motherwell. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| HJK Helsinki 1-0 Motherwell | 11.6% |
| HJK Helsinki 1-1 Motherwell | 11.6% |
| HJK Helsinki 2-0 Motherwell | 9.7% |
| HJK Helsinki 2-1 Motherwell | 9.7% |
| HJK Helsinki 0-0 Motherwell | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.67 expected goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.00 for Motherwell, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. HJK Helsinki keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Motherwell in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| HJK Helsinki expected goals | 1.67 |
| Motherwell expected goals | 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| HJK Helsinki clean sheet | 37% |
| Motherwell clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
HJK Helsinki
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Coleraine FC · UEFA Conference League | 3-0 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Coleraine FC · UEFA Conference League | 5-0 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Djurgardens IF · Club Friendlies | 2-4 | L |
| Mar 21, 2026 | SJK · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Gnistan · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
Motherwell
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | HB Torshavn · UEFA Conference League | 3-0 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HB Torshavn · UEFA Conference League | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Genk · Club Friendlies | 3-4 | L |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Aarhus · Club Friendlies | 0-4 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between HJK Helsinki and Motherwell: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
HJK Helsinki
No absences reported.
Motherwell
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- FK Jablonec 2-0 Rīgas FSAug 6, 2026
- FC Noah 2-2 FC SionAug 6, 2026
- Paide 1-4 Rapid ViennaAug 6, 2026
- CFR 1907 Cluj 0-5 TromsoAug 6, 2026
- IFK Goteborg 0-1 GentAug 6, 2026
- Inter Club d'Escaldes 2-0 Flora TallinnAug 6, 2026
- Riga 1-0 Gyori ETO FCAug 6, 2026
- Raków Częstochowa 0-0 Hammarby FFAug 6, 2026
- Sheriff Tiraspol 1-3 FC ST. GallenAug 6, 2026
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-5 HNK Hajduk SplitAug 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave HJK Helsinki a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Motherwell 23%. HJK Helsinki are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%), 2-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?
The probability that both HJK Helsinki and Motherwell score is 51%. HJK Helsinki have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Motherwell 19%.
How many goals should we expect in HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.67 for HJK Helsinki, 1.00 for Motherwell). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell played?
Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Bolt Arena, Helsinki.
What form are HJK Helsinki and Motherwell in?
HJK Helsinki: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 4 conceded). Motherwell: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded).
What was the HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: HJK Helsinki 1-1 Motherwell. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for HJK Helsinki (53%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.6%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
How is the HJK Helsinki vs Motherwell prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.67 for HJK Helsinki, 1.00 for Motherwell) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All HJK Helsinki predictions
- All Motherwell predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology