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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 6, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Paide vs Rapid Vienna: 1-4 result and AI prediction review

PaidePaide1 – 4Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: Paide 1-4 Rapid Vienna. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Paide (67%), while victory for Rapid Vienna was rated at only 13%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): correct.

Match analysis

Paide vs Rapid Vienna was played on Thursday, August 6, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn. Before kick-off, our model gave Paide a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rapid Vienna 13%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (12.1%), ahead of 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.7%).

Paide are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 2. Rapid Vienna are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Paide score 1.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Rapid Vienna score 2.80 and concede 1.40.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Paide and Rapid Vienna: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Paide or draw" stands at 87%, "Rapid Vienna or draw" at 33% and "no draw" at 80%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

67%
Paide (Win)
20%
Draw
13%
Rapid Vienna (Win)

Double chance

87%
Paide or draw
33%
Rapid Vienna or draw
80%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Paide – Rapid Vienna. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Paide 2-0 Rapid Vienna12.1%
Paide 1-0 Rapid Vienna11.6%
Paide 2-1 Rapid Vienna9.7%
Paide 1-1 Rapid Vienna9.3%
Paide 3-0 Rapid Vienna8.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.89 goals in total (2.09 for Paide, 0.80 for Rapid Vienna): over 2.5 goals has a 55% probability and both teams to score 48%. Paide keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Rapid Vienna in 12%.

Probability
Paide expected goals2.09
Rapid Vienna expected goals0.80
Both teams to score48%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Paide clean sheet45%
Rapid Vienna clean sheet12%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Paide

DateOpponentScore
Jul 30, 2026Zira · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Jul 23, 2026Zira · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 16, 2026Hegelmann Litauen · UEFA Conference League3-0W
Jul 9, 2026Hegelmann Litauen · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Feb 28, 2026Super Nova · Club Friendlies1-0W

Rapid Vienna

DateOpponentScore
Jul 29, 2026FC Santa Coloma · UEFA Conference League6-2W
Jul 23, 2026FC Santa Coloma · UEFA Conference League3-1W
Jul 18, 2026Hamburger SV · Club Friendlies3-2W
Jul 5, 2026Rapid · Club Friendlies0-0D
Jul 5, 2026Pardubice · Club Friendlies2-2D

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Paide and Rapid Vienna: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Paide

No absences reported.

Rapid Vienna

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Paide vs Rapid Vienna prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Paide a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rapid Vienna 13%. Paide are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-4.

What is the most likely correct score for Paide vs Rapid Vienna?

2-0 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.6%), 2-1 (9.7%), 1-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.5%).

Will both teams score in Paide vs Rapid Vienna?

The probability that both Paide and Rapid Vienna score is 48%. Paide have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Rapid Vienna 12%.

How many goals should we expect in Paide vs Rapid Vienna?

The model expects 2.89 goals (2.09 for Paide, 0.80 for Rapid Vienna). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 55%, over 3.5 goals 33%.

When and where is Paide vs Rapid Vienna played?

Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn.

What form are Paide and Rapid Vienna in?

Paide: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded). Rapid Vienna: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 7 conceded).

What was the Paide vs Rapid Vienna result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Paide 1-4 Rapid Vienna. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Paide (67%), while victory for Rapid Vienna was rated at only 13%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): correct.

How is the Paide vs Rapid Vienna prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.09 for Paide, 0.80 for Rapid Vienna) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained