Copa del Rey· Kick-off : Thursday, October 29, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Lebrijana vs Getafe: 2-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Lebrijana 2-3 Getafe. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Lebrijana (38%), while victory for Getafe was rated at only 34%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.9%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (50%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): missed.
Match analysis
Lebrijana and Getafe met on Thursday, October 29, 2026, a Copa del Rey fixture. Venue: Municipal de Lebrija. Before kick-off, our model gave Lebrijana a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Getafe 34%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.0%) and 0-1 (10.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Lebrijana have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Getafe have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 14. Lebrijana therefore arrive in far better shape than Getafe. On average Lebrijana score 1.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Getafe score 0.80 and concede 2.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lebrijana and Getafe: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Getafe: Djene (suspended), Juanmi, O. Mangala, Z. Romero and C. Uche. In double chance terms, "Lebrijana or draw" stands at 66%, "Getafe or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Lebrijana and Getafe meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 28%). On recent form, Lebrijana have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Getafe have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5. One to watch: Getafe will be without Djene and Juanmi.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Lebrijana – Getafe. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Lebrijana 1-1 Getafe | 13.0% |
| Lebrijana 1-0 Getafe | 11.0% |
| Lebrijana 0-1 Getafe | 10.3% |
| Lebrijana 0-0 Getafe | 8.7% |
| Lebrijana 2-1 Getafe | 8.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.26 expected goals for Lebrijana and 1.18 for Getafe, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 44% and "both teams to score" at 50%. Lebrijana keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, Getafe in 28%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Lebrijana expected goals | 1.26 |
| Getafe expected goals | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Lebrijana clean sheet | 31% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 28% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Lebrijana
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ceuta 6 de Junio · Copa del Rey | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ceuta 6 de Junio · Copa del Rey | 5-0 | W |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Castilleja · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 | 0-1 | L |
| May 29, 2021 | Coria CF · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 | 1-4 | L |
| May 23, 2021 | La Palma · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 | 0-1 | L |
Getafe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Athletic Club · La Liga | 0-4 | L |
| Oct 22, 2026 | FC Lugano · UEFA Conference League | 2-5 | L |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Conference League | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 0-3 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lebrijana and Getafe: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Lebrijana
No absences reported.
Getafe
- Djene (suspended)
- Juanmi (out)
- O. Mangala (out)
- Z. Romero (out)
- C. Uche (out)
Most regular starters
Lebrijana
Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).
- Juanma Reina3/3
- Tano3/3
- Álvaro Hormiga2/3
- Diego Enjamio2/3
- Fran2/3
- Fran Jiménez2/3
- Juande2/3
- Manuel Sánchez2/3
- Miguel Fernández2/3
- Ramón Sardà2/3
- Raúl Cabrera2/3
Getafe
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Valou4/5
- N. Gudelj4/5
- A. Garcia3/5
- D. Soria3/5
- Djene3/5
- Francho3/5
- J. Mojica3/5
- M. Satriano3/5
- B. Mayoral2/5
- Daniel Carvajal2/5
- David Soria2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sestao River 4-3 EspanyolOct 27, 2026
- Manacor 0-5 VillarrealOct 27, 2026
- Recreativo Huelva 2-3 Rayo VallecanoOct 27, 2026
- Atletico Calatayud 0-6 OsasunaOct 29, 2026
- Prat 1-6 Athletic ClubOct 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Lebrijana vs Getafe prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Lebrijana a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Getafe 34%. Lebrijana are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Lebrijana vs Getafe?
1-1 (13.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.0%), 0-1 (10.3%), 0-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.2%).
Will both teams score in Lebrijana vs Getafe?
The probability that both Lebrijana and Getafe score is 50%. Lebrijana have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Getafe 28%.
How many goals should we expect in Lebrijana vs Getafe?
The model expects 2.44 goals (1.26 for Lebrijana, 1.18 for Getafe). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 70%, over 2.5 goals 44%, over 3.5 goals 23%.
When and where is Lebrijana vs Getafe played?
Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Copa del Rey. Venue: Municipal de Lebrija.
What form are Lebrijana and Getafe in?
Lebrijana: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded). Getafe: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 14 conceded).
What was the Lebrijana vs Getafe result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Lebrijana 2-3 Getafe. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Lebrijana (38%), while victory for Getafe was rated at only 34%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.9%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (50%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): missed.
How is the Lebrijana vs Getafe prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.26 for Lebrijana, 1.18 for Getafe) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Lebrijana predictions
- All Getafe predictions
- Copa del Rey predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology