Copa del Rey· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Manacor vs Villarreal: 0-5 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Manacor 0-5 Villarreal. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Villarreal was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (57%): correct.
Match analysis
Manacor vs Villarreal was played on Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (Copa del Rey). Venue: Estadio Na Capellera, Manacor. Before kick-off, our model gave Manacor a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Villarreal 48%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.1%), ahead of 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (8.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Manacor have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Villarreal have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Manacor. On average Manacor score 2.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Villarreal score 1.60 and concede 1.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Manacor and Villarreal: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Villarreal: N. Pepe, C. Romero and N. Saliba. In double chance terms, "Manacor or draw" stands at 52%, "Villarreal or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Our model backs Villarreal to edge Manacor (48% probability). On recent form, Manacor have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Villarreal have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 57%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Manacor – Villarreal. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Manacor 1-1 Villarreal | 11.1% |
| Manacor 1-2 Villarreal | 9.5% |
| Manacor 0-1 Villarreal | 8.9% |
| Manacor 0-2 Villarreal | 7.7% |
| Manacor 2-1 Villarreal | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.96 goals in total (1.24 for Manacor, 1.72 for Villarreal): over 2.5 goals has a 57% probability and both teams to score 58%. Manacor keep a clean sheet in 18% of scenarios, Villarreal in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Manacor expected goals | 1.24 |
| Villarreal expected goals | 1.72 |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Manacor clean sheet | 18% |
| Villarreal clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Manacor
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Arenal · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Formentera · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Andratx · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sineu · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Migjorn · Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 | 5-1 | W |
Villarreal
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Liverpool · UEFA Champions League | 3-4 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Napoli · UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Manacor and Villarreal: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Manacor
No absences reported.
Villarreal
- N. Pepe (out)
- C. Romero (out)
- N. Saliba (out)
Most regular starters
Villarreal
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- P. Gueye4/5
- A. Freeman3/5
- A. Moleiro3/5
- J. Foyth3/5
- S. Comesana3/5
- A. Perez2/5
- C. Macia2/5
- G. Mikautadze2/5
- I. Akhomach2/5
- N. Saliba2/5
- P. Gulacsi2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sestao River 4-3 EspanyolOct 27, 2026
- Recreativo Huelva 2-3 Rayo VallecanoOct 27, 2026
- Atletico Calatayud 0-6 OsasunaOct 29, 2026
- Lebrijana 2-3 GetafeOct 29, 2026
- Prat 1-6 Athletic ClubOct 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Manacor vs Villarreal prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Manacor a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Villarreal 48%. Villarreal are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-5.
What is the most likely correct score for Manacor vs Villarreal?
1-1 (11.1%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%), 0-1 (8.9%), 0-2 (7.7%) and 2-1 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Manacor vs Villarreal?
The probability that both Manacor and Villarreal score is 58%. Manacor have a 18% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Villarreal 29%.
How many goals should we expect in Manacor vs Villarreal?
The model expects 2.96 goals (1.24 for Manacor, 1.72 for Villarreal). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 57%, over 3.5 goals 34%.
When and where is Manacor vs Villarreal played?
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Copa del Rey. Venue: Estadio Na Capellera, Manacor.
What form are Manacor and Villarreal in?
Manacor: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 6 conceded). Villarreal: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).
What was the Manacor vs Villarreal result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Manacor 0-5 Villarreal. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Villarreal was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (57%): correct.
How is the Manacor vs Villarreal prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.24 for Manacor, 1.72 for Villarreal) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Manacor predictions
- All Villarreal predictions
- Copa del Rey predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology