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Copa del ReyCopa del Rey· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Sestao River vs Espanyol: 4-3 result and AI prediction review

Sestao RiverSestao River4 – 3EspanyolEspanyol

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-2

Final score: Sestao River 4-3 Espanyol. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Espanyol (68%), while victory for Sestao River was rated at only 13%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (57%): correct.

Match analysis

Sestao River vs Espanyol was played on Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (Copa del Rey). Venue: Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao. Before kick-off, our model gave Sestao River a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Espanyol 68%. The most likely correct score is 0-2 (11.9%), ahead of 0-1 (11.0%) and 1-2 (9.7%).

Sestao River are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 7 and conceding 2. Espanyol have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with Sestao River. On average Sestao River score 1.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Espanyol score 0.80 and concede 1.80.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sestao River and Espanyol: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Espanyol: K. Garcia and Jofre. In double chance terms, "Sestao River or draw" stands at 32%, "Espanyol or draw" at 87% and "no draw" at 81%.

In short : Espanyol are tipped by our AI model in this Sestao River v Espanyol (68%). On recent form, Sestao River are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Espanyol are struggling (4 losses in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-2.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

13%
Sestao River (Win)
19%
Draw
68%
Espanyol (Win)

Double chance

32%
Sestao River or draw
87%
Espanyol or draw
81%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Sestao River – Espanyol. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Sestao River 0-2 Espanyol11.9%
Sestao River 0-1 Espanyol11.0%
Sestao River 1-2 Espanyol9.7%
Sestao River 1-1 Espanyol9.0%
Sestao River 0-3 Espanyol8.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.97 goals in total (0.82 for Sestao River, 2.15 for Espanyol): over 2.5 goals has a 57% probability and both teams to score 49%. Sestao River keep a clean sheet in 12% of scenarios, Espanyol in 44%.

Probability
Sestao River expected goals0.82
Espanyol expected goals2.15
Both teams to score49%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Sestao River clean sheet12%
Espanyol clean sheet44%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Sestao River

DateOpponentScore
Oct 24, 2026Arosa · Segunda División RFEF - Group 11-0W
Oct 18, 2026Marino de Luanco · Segunda División RFEF - Group 11-0W
Oct 14, 2026Salamanca UDS · Copa Federacion3-1W
Oct 10, 2026Gimnástica Torrelavega · Segunda División RFEF - Group 10-0D
Oct 4, 2026Gernika · Segunda División RFEF - Group 12-1W

Espanyol

DateOpponentScore
Oct 24, 2026Racing Santander · La Liga1-2L
Oct 17, 2026Atletico Madrid · La Liga0-1L
Oct 9, 2026Malaga · La Liga1-1D
Sep 18, 2026Elche · La Liga1-3L
Sep 15, 2026Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1-2L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sestao River and Espanyol: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Sestao River

No absences reported.

Espanyol

  • K. Garcia (out)
  • Jofre (out)

Most regular starters

Espanyol

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Cabrera5/5
  • J. Hernandez4/5
  • O. El Hilali4/5
  • B. Zaragoza3/5
  • C. Riedel3/5
  • Exposito3/5
  • Q. Hartman3/5
  • R. Hinojo3/5
  • A. Fortuno2/5
  • M. Dmitrovic2/5
  • P. Lozano2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Sestao River vs Espanyol prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Sestao River a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Espanyol 68%. Espanyol are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Sestao River vs Espanyol?

0-2 (11.9%), followed by 0-1 (11.0%), 1-2 (9.7%), 1-1 (9.0%) and 0-3 (8.5%).

Will both teams score in Sestao River vs Espanyol?

The probability that both Sestao River and Espanyol score is 49%. Sestao River have a 12% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Espanyol 44%.

How many goals should we expect in Sestao River vs Espanyol?

The model expects 2.97 goals (0.82 for Sestao River, 2.15 for Espanyol). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 57%, over 3.5 goals 35%.

When and where is Sestao River vs Espanyol played?

Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Copa del Rey. Venue: Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao.

What form are Sestao River and Espanyol in?

Sestao River: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded). Espanyol: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 9 conceded).

What was the Sestao River vs Espanyol result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Sestao River 4-3 Espanyol. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Espanyol (68%), while victory for Sestao River was rated at only 13%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (57%): correct.

How is the Sestao River vs Espanyol prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.82 for Sestao River, 2.15 for Espanyol) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained