Copa del Rey· Kick-off : Thursday, October 29, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Prat vs Athletic Club: 1-6 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Prat 1-6 Athletic Club. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Athletic Club at 40%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (46%): missed.
Match analysis
Prat and Athletic Club met on Thursday, October 29, 2026, a Copa del Rey fixture. Venue: Estadi La Feixa Llarga. Before kick-off, our model gave Prat a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Athletic Club 40%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.7%), followed by 0-1 (10.7%) and 1-0 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Prat have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 14. Over their last 5 matches, Athletic Club have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Prat score 2.40 and concede 2.80 goals per game; Athletic Club score 1.20 and concede 0.60.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Prat and Athletic Club: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Athletic Club: U. Egiluz, G. Guruzeta, A. Laporte (suspended) and O. Sancet. In double chance terms, "Prat or draw" stands at 60%, "Athletic Club or draw" at 67% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : An evenly-matched game between Prat and Athletic Club: our model sees no clear favourite. On recent form, Prat have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Athletic Club have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 51%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Prat – Athletic Club. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Prat 1-1 Athletic Club | 12.7% |
| Prat 0-1 Athletic Club | 10.7% |
| Prat 1-0 Athletic Club | 9.6% |
| Prat 1-2 Athletic Club | 8.5% |
| Prat 0-0 Athletic Club | 8.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.19 expected goals for Prat and 1.33 for Athletic Club, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 46% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Prat keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, Athletic Club in 30%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Prat expected goals | 1.19 |
| Athletic Club expected goals | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Prat clean sheet | 26% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 30% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Prat
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Rafael · Copa del Rey | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Rafael · Copa del Rey | 5-1 | W |
| May 10, 2025 | Atlètic Lleida · Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 | 0-6 | L |
| May 4, 2025 | Peralada · Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 | 2-2 | D |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Mollerussa · Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 | 0-5 | L |
Athletic Club
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Getafe · La Liga | 4-0 | W |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Levante · La Liga | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Real Sociedad · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alaves · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Prat and Athletic Club: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Prat
No absences reported.
Athletic Club
- U. Egiluz (out)
- G. Guruzeta (out)
- A. Laporte (suspended)
- O. Sancet (out)
Most regular starters
Prat
Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).
- Álex Sánchez3/3
- D. Almeida3/3
- Guillem Corominas3/3
- Jan Jou3/3
- Miguel Fernández3/3
- A. Amhot2/3
- Aleix Ruiz2/3
- Daniel Molina2/3
- Javier García2/3
- Julen Álvarez2/3
- Moli2/3
Athletic Club
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Louis-Jean4/5
- A. Paredes3/5
- I. Williams3/5
- R. Navarro3/5
- A. Berenguer2/5
- A. Laporte2/5
- Álex Berenguer2/5
- H. Rincon2/5
- Hugo Rincón2/5
- I. Ruiz de Galarreta2/5
- Maroan Sannadi2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sestao River 4-3 EspanyolOct 27, 2026
- Manacor 0-5 VillarrealOct 27, 2026
- Recreativo Huelva 2-3 Rayo VallecanoOct 27, 2026
- Atletico Calatayud 0-6 OsasunaOct 29, 2026
- Lebrijana 2-3 GetafeOct 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Prat vs Athletic Club prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Prat a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Athletic Club 40%. Athletic Club are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-6.
What is the most likely correct score for Prat vs Athletic Club?
1-1 (12.7%), followed by 0-1 (10.7%), 1-0 (9.6%), 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-0 (8.0%).
Will both teams score in Prat vs Athletic Club?
The probability that both Prat and Athletic Club score is 51%. Prat have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Athletic Club 30%.
How many goals should we expect in Prat vs Athletic Club?
The model expects 2.52 goals (1.19 for Prat, 1.33 for Athletic Club). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 46%, over 3.5 goals 25%.
When and where is Prat vs Athletic Club played?
Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Copa del Rey. Venue: Estadi La Feixa Llarga.
What form are Prat and Athletic Club in?
Prat: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 14 conceded). Athletic Club: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 3 conceded).
What was the Prat vs Athletic Club result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Prat 1-6 Athletic Club. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Athletic Club at 40%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (46%): missed.
How is the Prat vs Athletic Club prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.19 for Prat, 1.33 for Athletic Club) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Prat predictions
- All Athletic Club predictions
- Copa del Rey predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology