Copa del Rey· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: 2-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Recreativo Huelva 2-3 Rayo Vallecano. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Rayo Vallecano was the model's favourite outcome (54%). The model considered this score unlikely (3.8%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (60%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (61%): correct.
Match analysis
Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano was played on Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (Copa del Rey). Venue: Nuevo Colombino, Huelva. Before kick-off, our model gave Recreativo Huelva a 24% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rayo Vallecano 54%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (10.0%), ahead of 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (8.2%).
Recreativo Huelva have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 8 and conceding 6. Rayo Vallecano have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Recreativo Huelva score 1.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Rayo Vallecano score 1.00 and concede 2.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Recreativo Huelva and Rayo Vallecano: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe, R. Nteka, A. Ratiu and A. Batalla. In double chance terms, "Recreativo Huelva or draw" stands at 46%, "Rayo Vallecano or draw" at 76% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Rayo Vallecano are tipped by our AI model in this Recreativo Huelva v Rayo Vallecano (54%). On recent form, Recreativo Huelva have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Rayo Vallecano have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Recreativo Huelva – Rayo Vallecano. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 42% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Recreativo Huelva 1-1 Rayo Vallecano | 10.0% |
| Recreativo Huelva 1-2 Rayo Vallecano | 9.7% |
| Recreativo Huelva 0-1 Rayo Vallecano | 8.2% |
| Recreativo Huelva 0-2 Rayo Vallecano | 8.0% |
| Recreativo Huelva 1-3 Rayo Vallecano | 6.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.16 goals in total (1.22 for Recreativo Huelva, 1.94 for Rayo Vallecano): over 2.5 goals has a 61% probability and both teams to score 60%. Everything points to an open game. Recreativo Huelva keep a clean sheet in 14% of scenarios, Rayo Vallecano in 30%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Recreativo Huelva expected goals | 1.22 |
| Rayo Vallecano expected goals | 1.94 |
| Both teams to score | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Recreativo Huelva clean sheet | 14% |
| Rayo Vallecano clean sheet | 30% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Recreativo Huelva
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Linense · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Antoniano · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 | 5-0 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | San Roque Lepe · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Linares Deportivo · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Navalcarnero · Copa Federacion | 2-2 | D |
Rayo Vallecano
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Getafe · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Espanyol · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Madrid · La Liga | 1-4 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Recreativo Huelva and Rayo Vallecano: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Recreativo Huelva
No absences reported.
Rayo Vallecano
- Luiz Felipe (out)
- R. Nteka (out)
- A. Ratiu (out)
- A. Batalla (out)
Most regular starters
Rayo Vallecano
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Audero5/5
- F. Lejeune5/5
- P. Ciss5/5
- A. Garcia3/5
- A. Pedrosa3/5
- A. Ratiu3/5
- S. Camello3/5
- U. Lopez3/5
- Adrià Pedrosa2/5
- Álvaro García2/5
- G. Tsitaishvili2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sestao River 4-3 EspanyolOct 27, 2026
- Manacor 0-5 VillarrealOct 27, 2026
- Atletico Calatayud 0-6 OsasunaOct 29, 2026
- Lebrijana 2-3 GetafeOct 29, 2026
- Prat 1-6 Athletic ClubOct 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Recreativo Huelva a 24% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rayo Vallecano 54%. Rayo Vallecano are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano?
1-1 (10.0%), followed by 1-2 (9.7%), 0-1 (8.2%), 0-2 (8.0%) and 1-3 (6.3%).
Will both teams score in Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano?
The probability that both Recreativo Huelva and Rayo Vallecano score is 60%. Recreativo Huelva have a 14% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Rayo Vallecano 30%.
How many goals should we expect in Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano?
The model expects 3.16 goals (1.22 for Recreativo Huelva, 1.94 for Rayo Vallecano). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 61%, over 3.5 goals 39%.
When and where is Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano played?
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Copa del Rey. Venue: Nuevo Colombino, Huelva.
What form are Recreativo Huelva and Rayo Vallecano in?
Recreativo Huelva: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). Rayo Vallecano: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 10 conceded).
What was the Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Recreativo Huelva 2-3 Rayo Vallecano. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Rayo Vallecano was the model's favourite outcome (54%). The model considered this score unlikely (3.8%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (60%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (61%): correct.
How is the Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.22 for Recreativo Huelva, 1.94 for Rayo Vallecano) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Recreativo Huelva predictions
- All Rayo Vallecano predictions
- Copa del Rey predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology