CAF Confederation Cup· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)
Durban City vs ASPL 2000 prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
CAF Confederation Cup: Durban City vs ASPL 2000 kicks off on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time). Venue: Chatsworth Stadium, Durban. Durban City start as favourites with a 54% chance of victory; ASPL 2000 are given 22% and the draw 24%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Durban City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 4 and conceding 4. ASPL 2000 have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 7. Durban City therefore arrive in far better shape than ASPL 2000. On average Durban City score 0.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; ASPL 2000 score 0.60 and concede 1.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Durban City and ASPL 2000: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Durban City or draw" stands at 78%, "ASPL 2000 or draw" at 46% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Our model backs Durban City to edge ASPL 2000 (54% probability). On recent form, Durban City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5 while ASPL 2000 have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 51%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Durban City – ASPL 2000. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Durban City 1-0 ASPL 2000 | 11.6% |
| Durban City 1-1 ASPL 2000 | 11.5% |
| Durban City 2-0 ASPL 2000 | 9.8% |
| Durban City 2-1 ASPL 2000 | 9.7% |
| Durban City 0-0 ASPL 2000 | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.69 expected goals for Durban City and 0.99 for ASPL 2000, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Durban City keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, ASPL 2000 in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Durban City expected goals | 1.69 |
| ASPL 2000 expected goals | 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Durban City clean sheet | 37% |
| ASPL 2000 clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Durban City
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Milford FC · Premier Soccer League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Orlando Pirates · Premier Soccer League | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rukinzo · CAF Confederation Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rukinzo · CAF Confederation Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Stellenbosch · Premier Soccer League | 0-0 | D |
ASPL 2000
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Galaxy · CAF Confederation Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Galaxy · CAF Confederation Cup | 1-1 | D |
| May 28, 2025 | Pamplemousses · Mauritian League | 1-3 | L |
| May 24, 2025 | Petite Rivière Noire · Mauritian League | 0-2 | L |
| May 12, 2025 | ASVP · Mauritian League | 0-1 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Durban City and ASPL 2000: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Durban City
No absences reported.
ASPL 2000
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Durban City
Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Shandu3/3
- F. Asare3/3
- G. Sirino3/3
- J. Mokone3/3
- S. Msomi3/3
- S. Ncanana3/3
- T. Sanger3/3
- B. Poggenpoel2/3
- J. Lwamba2/3
- K. Jurgens2/3
- S. Maseko2/3
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Durban City vs ASPL 2000 prediction?
Our AI gives Durban City a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and ASPL 2000 22%. Durban City are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Durban City vs ASPL 2000?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%), 2-0 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Durban City vs ASPL 2000?
The probability that both Durban City and ASPL 2000 score is 51%. Durban City have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, ASPL 2000 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Durban City vs ASPL 2000?
The model expects 2.68 goals (1.69 for Durban City, 0.99 for ASPL 2000). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Durban City vs ASPL 2000 played?
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), CAF Confederation Cup. Venue: Chatsworth Stadium, Durban.
What form are Durban City and ASPL 2000 in?
Durban City: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded). ASPL 2000: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 7 conceded).
How is the Durban City vs ASPL 2000 prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.69 for Durban City, 0.99 for ASPL 2000) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Durban City predictions
- All ASPL 2000 predictions
- CAF Confederation Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology