CAF Confederation Cup· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Ahli Tripoli prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
CAF Confederation Cup: the Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Ahli Tripoli match is scheduled on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time). Welwalo Adigrat Uni start as favourites with a 50% chance of victory; Al Ahli Tripoli are given 25% and the draw 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Welwalo Adigrat Uni have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Al Ahli Tripoli are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 and conceding 1. Al Ahli Tripoli therefore arrive in far better shape than Welwalo Adigrat Uni. On average Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 1.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Al Ahli Tripoli score 2.00 and concede 0.20.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Al Ahli Tripoli: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Welwalo Adigrat Uni or draw" stands at 75%, "Al Ahli Tripoli or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Our model backs Welwalo Adigrat Uni to edge Al Ahli Tripoli (50% probability). On recent form, Welwalo Adigrat Uni have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Al Ahli Tripoli are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Welwalo Adigrat Uni – Al Ahli Tripoli. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Al Ahli Tripoli | 12.0% |
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-0 Al Ahli Tripoli | 11.3% |
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni 2-1 Al Ahli Tripoli | 9.4% |
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni 2-0 Al Ahli Tripoli | 8.9% |
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-1 Al Ahli Tripoli | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.58 expected goals for Welwalo Adigrat Uni and 1.06 for Al Ahli Tripoli, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Welwalo Adigrat Uni keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Al Ahli Tripoli in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni expected goals | 1.58 |
| Al Ahli Tripoli expected goals | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni clean sheet | 35% |
| Al Ahli Tripoli clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Hilal Port Sudan · CAF Confederation Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Hilal Port Sudan · CAF Confederation Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Sidama Bunna · Ethiopia Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Arba Minch Kenema · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
Al Ahli Tripoli
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | KMKM · CAF Confederation Cup | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | KMKM · CAF Confederation Cup | 3-0 | W |
| May 24, 2026 | Asswehly · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| May 20, 2026 | Olympic Azzaweya · Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| May 14, 2026 | Al-Madina · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Al Ahli Tripoli: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
No absences reported.
Al Ahli Tripoli
No absences reported.
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Ahli Tripoli prediction?
Our AI gives Welwalo Adigrat Uni a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Ahli Tripoli 25%. Welwalo Adigrat Uni are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Ahli Tripoli?
1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Ahli Tripoli?
The probability that both Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Al Ahli Tripoli score is 52%. Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Al Ahli Tripoli 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Ahli Tripoli?
The model expects 2.64 goals (1.58 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni, 1.06 for Al Ahli Tripoli). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Ahli Tripoli played?
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), CAF Confederation Cup.
What form are Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Al Ahli Tripoli in?
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded). Al Ahli Tripoli: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 1 conceded).
How is the Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Ahli Tripoli prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.58 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni, 1.06 for Al Ahli Tripoli) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Welwalo Adigrat Uni predictions
- All Al Ahli Tripoli predictions
- CAF Confederation Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology