FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Tuesday, July 14, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
France vs Spain: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: France 0-2 Spain. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for France (42%), while victory for Spain was rated at only 32%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (77%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (83%): missed.
Match analysis
France and Spain met on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Dallas Stadium, Arlington. Before kick-off, our model gave France a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Spain 32%. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (7.4%), followed by 3-1 (6.8%) and 2-2 (6.3%).
France are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 13 and conceding 1. Spain are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 11 and conceding 1. Both sides come in with similar form. On average France score 2.60 and concede 0.20 goals per game; Spain score 2.20 and concede 0.20. In the table, France sit 1st with 9 points from 3 games, Spain 1st with 7 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, France have averaged 2.46 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.95 for Spain.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for France, 4 for Spain and 0 draws. In double chance terms, "France or draw" stands at 68%, "Spain or draw" at 58% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : France arrives unbeaten with a perfect 3-0 record and superior expected goals (2.46 xG), but Spain's historical dominance in head-to-head matchups (4 wins vs 1) and their own undefeated run present a formidable challenge. This clash between two in-form nations promises a competitive encounter with France's attacking prowess tested against Spain's proven pedigree.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as France – Spain. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (7.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 32% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| France 2-1 Spain | 7.4% |
| France 3-1 Spain | 6.8% |
| France 2-2 Spain | 6.3% |
| France 3-2 Spain | 5.9% |
| France 1-1 Spain | 5.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.78 expected goals for France and 1.72 for Spain, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 83% and "both teams to score" at 77%. Goals look likely in this one. France keep a clean sheet in 18% of scenarios, Spain in 6%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| France expected goals | 2.78 |
| Spain expected goals | 1.72 |
| Both teams to score | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 66% |
| France clean sheet | 18% |
| Spain clean sheet | 6% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
France
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | Morocco · FIFA World Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Paraguay · FIFA World Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Sweden · FIFA World Cup | 3-0 | W |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Norway · FIFA World Cup | 4-1 | W |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Iraq · FIFA World Cup | 3-0 | W |
Spain
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | Belgium · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Portugal · FIFA World Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Austria · FIFA World Cup | 3-0 | W |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Uruguay · FIFA World Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Saudi Arabia · FIFA World Cup | 4-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| France | 1 | 9 | 3 |
| Spain | 1 | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for France, 4 for Spain and 0 draws.
Out and doubtful
France
No absences reported.
Spain
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Spain 2-1 BelgiumJul 10, 2026
- Norway 1-2 EnglandJul 11, 2026
- Argentina 3-1 SwitzerlandJul 12, 2026
- England 1-2 ArgentinaJul 15, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the France vs Spain prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave France a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Spain 32%. France are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for France vs Spain?
2-1 (7.4%), followed by 3-1 (6.8%), 2-2 (6.3%), 3-2 (5.9%) and 1-1 (5.3%).
Will both teams score in France vs Spain?
The probability that both France and Spain score is 77%. France have a 18% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Spain 6%.
How many goals should we expect in France vs Spain?
The model expects 4.50 goals (2.78 for France, 1.72 for Spain). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 94%, over 2.5 goals 83%, over 3.5 goals 66%.
When and where is France vs Spain played?
Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Dallas Stadium, Arlington.
What form are France and Spain in?
France: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 1 conceded). Spain: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 1 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between France and Spain?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for France, 4 for Spain and 0 draws.
What was the France vs Spain result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: France 0-2 Spain. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for France (42%), while victory for Spain was rated at only 32%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (77%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (83%): missed.
How is the France vs Spain prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.78 for France, 1.72 for Spain) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All France predictions
- All Spain predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology