FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Sunday, July 12, 2026, 02:00 (UK time)
Argentina vs Switzerland: 3-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Argentina 3-1 Switzerland. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Argentina at 62%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (7.0%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (74%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (78%): correct.
Match analysis
Argentina and Switzerland met on Sunday, July 12, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City. Before kick-off, our model gave Argentina a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Switzerland 16%. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (8.2%), followed by 3-1 (7.0%) and 2-2 (6.5%).
Argentina are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 5. Switzerland are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 3. Argentina therefore arrive in far better shape than Switzerland. On average Argentina score 2.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Switzerland score 1.80 and concede 0.60. In the table, Argentina sit 1st with 9 points from 3 games, Switzerland 1st with 7 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Argentina have averaged 2.19 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.86 for Switzerland.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Argentina, 0 for Switzerland and 0 draws. Switzerland: L. Jaquez, J. Manzambi and M. Aebischer. In double chance terms, "Argentina or draw" stands at 84%, "Switzerland or draw" at 38% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Argentina arrives unbeaten with five consecutive wins and a +7 goal differential, averaging 2.19 expected goals per match. Switzerland remains undefeated but with two draws in their last five games and a lower xG average of 1.86, while Argentina holds a 1-0 head-to-head advantage.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Argentina – Switzerland. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 34% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Argentina 2-1 Switzerland | 8.2% |
| Argentina 3-1 Switzerland | 7.0% |
| Argentina 2-2 Switzerland | 6.5% |
| Argentina 1-1 Switzerland | 6.4% |
| Argentina 3-2 Switzerland | 5.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.57 expected goals for Argentina and 1.59 for Switzerland, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 78% and "both teams to score" at 74%. Goals look likely in this one. Argentina keep a clean sheet in 20% of scenarios, Switzerland in 8%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Argentina expected goals | 2.57 |
| Switzerland expected goals | 1.59 |
| Both teams to score | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 60% |
| Argentina clean sheet | 20% |
| Switzerland clean sheet | 8% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Argentina
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2026 | Egypt · FIFA World Cup | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Cape Verde · FIFA World Cup | 3-2 | W |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Jordan · FIFA World Cup | 3-1 | W |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Austria · FIFA World Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Algeria · FIFA World Cup | 3-0 | W |
Switzerland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2026 | Colombia · FIFA World Cup | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Algeria · FIFA World Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Canada · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina · FIFA World Cup | 4-1 | W |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Qatar · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 1 | 9 | 3 |
| Switzerland | 1 | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-head
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Argentina, 0 for Switzerland and 0 draws.
Out and doubtful
Argentina
No absences reported.
Switzerland
- L. Jaquez (out)
- J. Manzambi (out)
- M. Aebischer (out)
Other matches in this competition
- France 2-0 MoroccoJul 9, 2026
- Spain 2-1 BelgiumJul 10, 2026
- Norway 1-2 EnglandJul 11, 2026
- France 0-2 SpainJul 14, 2026
- England 1-2 ArgentinaJul 15, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Argentina vs Switzerland prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Argentina a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Switzerland 16%. Argentina are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Argentina vs Switzerland?
2-1 (8.2%), followed by 3-1 (7.0%), 2-2 (6.5%), 1-1 (6.4%) and 3-2 (5.6%).
Will both teams score in Argentina vs Switzerland?
The probability that both Argentina and Switzerland score is 74%. Argentina have a 20% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Switzerland 8%.
How many goals should we expect in Argentina vs Switzerland?
The model expects 4.16 goals (2.57 for Argentina, 1.59 for Switzerland). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 92%, over 2.5 goals 78%, over 3.5 goals 60%.
When and where is Argentina vs Switzerland played?
Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City.
What form are Argentina and Switzerland in?
Argentina: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 5 conceded). Switzerland: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Argentina and Switzerland?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Argentina, 0 for Switzerland and 0 draws.
What was the Argentina vs Switzerland result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Argentina 3-1 Switzerland. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Argentina at 62%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (7.0%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (74%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (78%): correct.
How is the Argentina vs Switzerland prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.57 for Argentina, 1.59 for Switzerland) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Argentina predictions
- All Switzerland predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology