FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Saturday, July 11, 2026, 22:00 (UK time)
Norway vs England: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Norway 1-2 England. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for England at 48%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): correct.
Match analysis
Norway and England met on Saturday, July 11, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami. Before kick-off, our model gave Norway a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and England 48%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Norway have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 9. England are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 11 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Norway score 2.40 and concede 1.80 goals per game; England score 2.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Norway sit 2nd with 6 points from 3 games, England 1st with 7 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Norway have averaged 1.90 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.94 for England.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Norway and England: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Norway out or doubtful: M. Pedersen. England: J. Henderson and J. Quansah. In double chance terms, "Norway or draw" stands at 52%, "England or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : England arrives as group leaders with 7 points and an unbeaten record, while Norway sits second with 6 points and a goal difference of just +1 compared to England's +4. Both teams show similar attacking output (Norway 1.9 xG, England 1.94 xG), but England's superior defensive record and standings position make them clear favorites in this World Cup encounter.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Norway – England. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Norway 1-1 England | 11.3% |
| Norway 1-2 England | 9.5% |
| Norway 0-1 England | 9.2% |
| Norway 0-2 England | 7.7% |
| Norway 2-1 England | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.23 expected goals for Norway and 1.68 for England, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 56% and "both teams to score" at 58%. Norway keep a clean sheet in 19% of scenarios, England in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Norway expected goals | 1.23 |
| England expected goals | 1.68 |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Norway clean sheet | 19% |
| England clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Norway
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Brazil · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Ivory Coast · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 26, 2026 | France · FIFA World Cup | 1-4 | L |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Senegal · FIFA World Cup | 3-2 | W |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Iraq · FIFA World Cup | 4-1 | W |
England
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2026 | Mexico · FIFA World Cup | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 1, 2026 | DR Congo · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Panama · FIFA World Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Ghana · FIFA World Cup | 0-0 | D |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Croatia · FIFA World Cup | 4-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| England | 1 | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Norway and England: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Norway
- M. Pedersen (out)
England
- J. Henderson (out)
- J. Quansah (out)
Other matches in this competition
- France 2-0 MoroccoJul 9, 2026
- Spain 2-1 BelgiumJul 10, 2026
- Argentina 3-1 SwitzerlandJul 12, 2026
- France 0-2 SpainJul 14, 2026
- England 1-2 ArgentinaJul 15, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Norway vs England prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Norway a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and England 48%. England are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Norway vs England?
1-1 (11.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%), 0-1 (9.2%), 0-2 (7.7%) and 2-1 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Norway vs England?
The probability that both Norway and England score is 58%. Norway have a 19% chance of keeping a clean sheet, England 29%.
How many goals should we expect in Norway vs England?
The model expects 2.91 goals (1.23 for Norway, 1.68 for England). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 33%.
When and where is Norway vs England played?
Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 22:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami.
What form are Norway and England in?
Norway: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 9 conceded). England: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 5 conceded).
What was the Norway vs England result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Norway 1-2 England. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for England at 48%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): correct.
How is the Norway vs England prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.23 for Norway, 1.68 for England) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Norway predictions
- All England predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology