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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Thursday, July 9, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)

France vs Morocco: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

FranceFrance2 – 0MoroccoMorocco

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-1

Final score: France 2-0 Morocco. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for France was the model's favourite outcome (68%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (69%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (74%): missed.

Match analysis

France vs Morocco was played on Thursday, July 9, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: Gillette Stadium, Boston. Before kick-off, our model gave France a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Morocco 14%. The most likely correct score is 2-1 (8.9%), ahead of 1-1 (7.3%) and 3-1 (7.2%).

France are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 2. Morocco are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with France. On average France score 2.80 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Morocco score 2.00 and concede 0.80. In the table, France sit 1st with 9 points from 3 games, Morocco 2nd with 7 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, France have averaged 2.08 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.67 for Morocco.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for France, 0 for Morocco and 0 draws. In double chance terms, "France or draw" stands at 86%, "Morocco or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 82%.

In short : France arrives unbeaten with 5 consecutive wins and a +8 goal differential, ranking first with perfect 3-0 record. Morocco sits second with 7 points from 3 matches, averaging lower expected goals (1.67 vs 2.08), and France holds a 1-0 head-to-head advantage.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

68%
France (Win)
18%
Draw
14%
Morocco (Win)

Double chance

86%
France or draw
32%
Morocco or draw
82%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as France – Morocco. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 36% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
France 2-1 Morocco8.9%
France 1-1 Morocco7.3%
France 3-1 Morocco7.2%
France 2-2 Morocco6.3%
France 2-0 Morocco6.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.86 goals in total (2.44 for France, 1.42 for Morocco): over 2.5 goals has a 74% probability and both teams to score 69%. Everything points to an open game. France keep a clean sheet in 24% of scenarios, Morocco in 9%.

Probability
France expected goals2.44
Morocco expected goals1.42
Both teams to score69%
Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
France clean sheet24%
Morocco clean sheet9%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

France

DateOpponentScore
Jul 4, 2026Paraguay · FIFA World Cup1-0W
Jun 30, 2026Sweden · FIFA World Cup3-0W
Jun 26, 2026Norway · FIFA World Cup4-1W
Jun 22, 2026Iraq · FIFA World Cup3-0W
Jun 16, 2026Senegal · FIFA World Cup3-1W

Morocco

DateOpponentScore
Jul 4, 2026Canada · FIFA World Cup3-0W
Jun 30, 2026Netherlands · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 24, 2026Haiti · FIFA World Cup4-2W
Jun 19, 2026Scotland · FIFA World Cup1-0W
Jun 13, 2026Brazil · FIFA World Cup1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
France193
Morocco273

Head-to-head

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for France, 0 for Morocco and 0 draws.

Out and doubtful

France

No absences reported.

Morocco

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the France vs Morocco prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave France a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Morocco 14%. France are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for France vs Morocco?

2-1 (8.9%), followed by 1-1 (7.3%), 3-1 (7.2%), 2-2 (6.3%) and 2-0 (6.3%).

Will both teams score in France vs Morocco?

The probability that both France and Morocco score is 69%. France have a 24% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Morocco 9%.

How many goals should we expect in France vs Morocco?

The model expects 3.86 goals (2.44 for France, 1.42 for Morocco). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 74%, over 3.5 goals 54%.

When and where is France vs Morocco played?

Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Gillette Stadium, Boston.

What form are France and Morocco in?

France: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 2 conceded). Morocco: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between France and Morocco?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for France, 0 for Morocco and 0 draws.

What was the France vs Morocco result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: France 2-0 Morocco. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for France was the model's favourite outcome (68%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (69%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (74%): missed.

How is the France vs Morocco prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.44 for France, 1.42 for Morocco) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

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