FIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Argentina vs Egypt: 3-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Argentina 3-2 Egypt. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Argentina at 68%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (78%): correct.
Match analysis
Argentina and Egypt met on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta. Before kick-off, our model gave Argentina a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Egypt 14%. On the correct score, 3-0 comes out on top (10.0%), followed by 2-0 (9.1%) and 4-0 (8.3%).
Argentina are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 3. Egypt have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 7 and conceding 6. Argentina therefore arrive in far better shape than Egypt. On average Argentina score 2.80 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Egypt score 1.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Argentina sit 1st with 9 points from 3 games, Egypt 2nd with 5 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Argentina have averaged 2.03 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.29 for Egypt.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Argentina and Egypt: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Egypt: Hossam Abdelmaguid, Hamdi Fathy, Mohanad Lasheen, Ahmed Abou El Fotouh and Mohamed Abdelmonem. In double chance terms, "Argentina or draw" stands at 86%, "Egypt or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Argentina arrives undefeated with five consecutive wins and a +7 goal differential, averaging 2.03 expected goals per match. Egypt has managed only one win in five games with inconsistent form, posting a 1.29 xG average and sitting second in the group with 5 points from 3 matches.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Argentina – Egypt. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (10.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Argentina 3-0 Egypt | 10.0% |
| Argentina 2-0 Egypt | 9.1% |
| Argentina 4-0 Egypt | 8.3% |
| Argentina 3-1 Egypt | 7.9% |
| Argentina 2-1 Egypt | 7.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 3.31 expected goals for Argentina and 0.79 for Egypt, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 78% and "both teams to score" at 53%. Goals look likely in this one. Argentina keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Egypt in 4%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Argentina expected goals | 3.31 |
| Egypt expected goals | 0.79 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 59% |
| Argentina clean sheet | 45% |
| Egypt clean sheet | 4% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Argentina
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Cape Verde · FIFA World Cup | 3-2 | W |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Jordan · FIFA World Cup | 3-1 | W |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Austria · FIFA World Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Algeria · FIFA World Cup | 3-0 | W |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Iceland · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
Egypt
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Australia · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Iran · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 22, 2026 | New Zealand · FIFA World Cup | 3-1 | W |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Belgium · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Brazil · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 1 | 9 | 3 |
| Egypt | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Argentina and Egypt: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Argentina
No absences reported.
Egypt
- Hossam Abdelmaguid (out)
- Hamdi Fathy (out)
- Mohanad Lasheen (out)
- Ahmed Abou El Fotouh (out)
- Mohamed Abdelmonem (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Colombia 1-0 GhanaJul 4, 2026
- Canada 0-3 MoroccoJul 4, 2026
- Paraguay 0-1 FranceJul 4, 2026
- Brazil 1-2 NorwayJul 5, 2026
- Mexico 2-3 EnglandJul 6, 2026
- Portugal 0-1 SpainJul 6, 2026
- United States 1-4 BelgiumJul 7, 2026
- Switzerland 0-0 ColombiaJul 7, 2026
- France 2-0 MoroccoJul 9, 2026
- Spain 2-1 BelgiumJul 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Argentina vs Egypt prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Argentina a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Egypt 14%. Argentina are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Argentina vs Egypt?
3-0 (10.0%), followed by 2-0 (9.1%), 4-0 (8.3%), 3-1 (7.9%) and 2-1 (7.2%).
Will both teams score in Argentina vs Egypt?
The probability that both Argentina and Egypt score is 53%. Argentina have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Egypt 4%.
How many goals should we expect in Argentina vs Egypt?
The model expects 4.10 goals (3.31 for Argentina, 0.79 for Egypt). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 92%, over 2.5 goals 78%, over 3.5 goals 59%.
When and where is Argentina vs Egypt played?
Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.
What form are Argentina and Egypt in?
Argentina: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 3 conceded). Egypt: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded).
What was the Argentina vs Egypt result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Argentina 3-2 Egypt. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Argentina at 68%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (78%): correct.
How is the Argentina vs Egypt prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.31 for Argentina, 0.79 for Egypt) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Argentina predictions
- All Egypt predictions
- FIFA World Cup predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology