Jupiler Pro League· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Genk vs Kortrijk prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Genk take on Kortrijk on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), a Jupiler Pro League, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Cegeka Arena, Genk. With a 92% win probability, Genk go in as strong favourites against Kortrijk (2%), with the draw rated at 6%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (11.5%), ahead of 4-0 (10.9%) and 2-0 (9.1%).
Genk are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 7. Kortrijk have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 12. Recent momentum is clearly with Genk. On average Genk score 2.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Kortrijk score 0.20 and concede 2.40. In the table, Genk sit 10th with 9 points from 7 games, Kortrijk 16th with 3 points from 7. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Genk have averaged 2.38 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.93 for Kortrijk.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Genk and Kortrijk: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Genk or draw" stands at 98%, "Kortrijk or draw" at 8% and "no draw" at 94%.
In short : Genk are favourites for this Genk v Kortrijk, with a 92% win probability from our model. In the table, Genk (10th, 9 pts) host Kortrijk (16th, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 3-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Genk – Kortrijk. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 46% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Genk 3-0 Kortrijk | 11.5% |
| Genk 4-0 Kortrijk | 10.9% |
| Genk 2-0 Kortrijk | 9.1% |
| Genk 5-0 Kortrijk | 8.2% |
| Genk 3-1 Kortrijk | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.37 goals in total (3.79 for Genk, 0.58 for Kortrijk): over 2.5 goals has a 81% probability and both teams to score 43%. Everything points to an open game. Genk keep a clean sheet in 56% of scenarios, Kortrijk in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Genk expected goals | 3.79 |
| Kortrijk expected goals | 0.58 |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 64% |
| Genk clean sheet | 56% |
| Kortrijk clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Genk
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gent · Jupiler Pro League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Anderlecht · Jupiler Pro League | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 28, 2026 | SK Beveren · Jupiler Pro League | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Antwerp · Jupiler Pro League | 4-4 | D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KVC Westerlo · Jupiler Pro League | 3-2 | W |
Kortrijk
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Anderlecht · Jupiler Pro League | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Charleroi · Jupiler Pro League | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Antwerp · Jupiler Pro League | 0-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genk | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| Kortrijk | 16 | 3 | 7 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Genk and Kortrijk: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Genk
No absences reported.
Kortrijk
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Genk
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Yokoyama5/5
- B. Heynen5/5
- I. Bangoura5/5
- J. Erenbjerg5/5
- J. Ito5/5
- J. Kayembe5/5
- J. Kongolo5/5
- L. Brughmans5/5
- M. Smets5/5
- R. Durosinmi5/5
- Z. El Ouahdi3/5
Kortrijk
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Dejaegere5/5
- G. Ruyssen5/5
- T. Ambrose5/5
- G. Koyalipou4/5
- M. Ilic4/5
- R. Kohon4/5
- H. Murray-Campbell3/5
- J. Ndjeungoue3/5
- K. Masui3/5
- S. Campbell3/5
- A. Drouhin2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- SK Beveren – Lommel UnitedOct 9, 2026
- Cercle Brugge – AnderlechtOct 10, 2026
- RAAL La Louvière – Club Brugge KVOct 10, 2026
- Zulte Waregem – GentOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Genk vs Kortrijk prediction?
Our AI gives Genk a 92% chance of winning, the draw 6% and Kortrijk 2%. Genk are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Genk vs Kortrijk?
3-0 (11.5%), followed by 4-0 (10.9%), 2-0 (9.1%), 5-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in Genk vs Kortrijk?
The probability that both Genk and Kortrijk score is 43%. Genk have a 56% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kortrijk 2%.
How many goals should we expect in Genk vs Kortrijk?
The model expects 4.37 goals (3.79 for Genk, 0.58 for Kortrijk). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 93%, over 2.5 goals 81%, over 3.5 goals 64%.
When and where is Genk vs Kortrijk played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Jupiler Pro League, matchday 8. Venue: Cegeka Arena, Genk.
What form are Genk and Kortrijk in?
Genk: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 7 conceded). Kortrijk: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 12 conceded).
How is the Genk vs Kortrijk prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.79 for Genk, 0.58 for Kortrijk) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Genk predictions
- All Kortrijk predictions
- Jupiler Pro League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology