Jupiler Pro League· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Genk vs Kortrijk: 3-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Genk 3-0 Kortrijk. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Genk was the model's favourite outcome (85%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (12.9%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (67%): correct.
Match analysis
Genk vs Kortrijk was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 (Jupiler Pro League, matchday 8). Venue: Cegeka Arena, Genk. Before kick-off, our model gave Genk a 85% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Kortrijk 4%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (13.3%), ahead of 3-0 (12.9%) and 4-0 (9.4%).
Genk have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 6. Kortrijk have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Genk score 1.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Kortrijk score 0.60 and concede 1.60. In the table, Genk sit 11th with 9 points from 7 games, Kortrijk 16th with 3 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Genk have averaged 1.99 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.81 for Kortrijk.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Genk and Kortrijk: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Genk or draw" stands at 96%, "Kortrijk or draw" at 15% and "no draw" at 89%.
In short : Genk are favourites for this Genk v Kortrijk, with a 85% win probability from our model. In the table, Genk (11th, 9 pts) host Kortrijk (16th, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Genk – Kortrijk. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Genk 2-0 Kortrijk | 13.3% |
| Genk 3-0 Kortrijk | 12.9% |
| Genk 4-0 Kortrijk | 9.4% |
| Genk 1-0 Kortrijk | 9.1% |
| Genk 2-1 Kortrijk | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.46 goals in total (2.91 for Genk, 0.55 for Kortrijk): over 2.5 goals has a 67% probability and both teams to score 40%. Everything points to an open game. Genk keep a clean sheet in 58% of scenarios, Kortrijk in 5%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Genk expected goals | 2.91 |
| Kortrijk expected goals | 0.55 |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% |
| Genk clean sheet | 58% |
| Kortrijk clean sheet | 5% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Genk
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gent · Jupiler Pro League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Anderlecht · Jupiler Pro League | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 28, 2026 | SK Beveren · Jupiler Pro League | 4-0 | W |
Kortrijk
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heist · Cup | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SK Beveren · Jupiler Pro League | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Anderlecht · Jupiler Pro League | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genk | 11 | 9 | 7 |
| Kortrijk | 16 | 3 | 7 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Genk and Kortrijk: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Genk
No absences reported.
Kortrijk
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Genk
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Heynen5/5
- R. Durosinmi5/5
- J. Erenbjerg4/5
- J. Ito4/5
- J. Kayembe4/5
- J. Kongolo4/5
- K. Amaro4/5
- L. Brughmans4/5
- M. Smets4/5
- A. Yokoyama3/5
- I. Bangoura3/5
Kortrijk
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Dejaegere4/4
- H. Murray-Campbell4/4
- T. Ambrose4/4
- A. Drouhin3/4
- G. Ruyssen3/4
- J. Roche3/4
- M. Ilic3/4
- G. Koyalipou2/4
- J. Ndjeungoue2/4
- J. van Landschoot2/4
- N. Mehssatou Sepulveda2/4
Other matches in this competition
- SK Beveren 1-3 Lommel UnitedOct 9, 2026
- Cercle Brugge 1-2 AnderlechtOct 10, 2026
- RAAL La Louvière 1-4 Club Brugge KVOct 10, 2026
- Zulte Waregem 0-2 GentOct 10, 2026
- Standard Liege 0-1 CharleroiOct 11, 2026
- Union St. Gilloise 1-1 OH LeuvenOct 11, 2026
- KVC Westerlo 5-1 AntwerpOct 11, 2026
- KV Mechelen 4-3 St. TruidenOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Genk vs Kortrijk prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Genk a 85% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Kortrijk 4%. Genk are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Genk vs Kortrijk?
2-0 (13.3%), followed by 3-0 (12.9%), 4-0 (9.4%), 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Genk vs Kortrijk?
The probability that both Genk and Kortrijk score is 40%. Genk have a 58% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kortrijk 5%.
How many goals should we expect in Genk vs Kortrijk?
The model expects 3.46 goals (2.91 for Genk, 0.55 for Kortrijk). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 67%, over 3.5 goals 46%.
When and where is Genk vs Kortrijk played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Jupiler Pro League, matchday 8. Venue: Cegeka Arena, Genk.
What form are Genk and Kortrijk in?
Genk: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded). Kortrijk: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 8 conceded).
What was the Genk vs Kortrijk result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Genk 3-0 Kortrijk. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Genk was the model's favourite outcome (85%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (12.9%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (67%): correct.
How is the Genk vs Kortrijk prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.91 for Genk, 0.55 for Kortrijk) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Genk predictions
- All Kortrijk predictions
- Jupiler Pro League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology