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Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro League· Kick-off : Friday, October 9, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

SK Beveren vs Lommel United: 1-3 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-1

Final score: SK Beveren 1-3 Lommel United. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Lommel United at 50%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.0%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): missed.

Match analysis

SK Beveren and Lommel United met on Friday, October 9, 2026, a Jupiler Pro League, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Freethiel Stadion, Beveren. Before kick-off, our model gave SK Beveren a 22% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lommel United 50%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (15.2%), followed by 1-1 (12.5%) and 0-0 (11.0%).

Over their last 5 matches, SK Beveren have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Lommel United have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average SK Beveren score 1.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Lommel United score 0.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, SK Beveren sit 9th with 9 points from 7 games, Lommel United 12th with 8 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, SK Beveren have averaged 0.70 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.63 for Lommel United.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for SK Beveren, 1 for Lommel United and 1 draw. The most recent ended SK Beveren 2-0 Lommel United (Feb 8, 2026). In double chance terms, "SK Beveren or draw" stands at 50%, "Lommel United or draw" at 78% and "no draw" at 72%.

In short : Lommel United are tipped by our AI model in this SK Beveren v Lommel United (50%). On recent form, SK Beveren have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Lommel United have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

22%
SK Beveren (Win)
28%
Draw
50%
Lommel United (Win)

Double chance

50%
SK Beveren or draw
78%
Lommel United or draw
72%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as SK Beveren – Lommel United. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (15.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
SK Beveren 0-1 Lommel United15.2%
SK Beveren 1-1 Lommel United12.5%
SK Beveren 0-0 Lommel United11.0%
SK Beveren 0-2 Lommel United10.6%
SK Beveren 1-0 Lommel United9.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.82 expected goals for SK Beveren and 1.39 for Lommel United, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 38% and "both teams to score" at 42%. Few goals are expected here. SK Beveren keep a clean sheet in 25% of scenarios, Lommel United in 44%.

Probability
SK Beveren expected goals0.82
Lommel United expected goals1.39
Both teams to score42%
Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Over 3.5 goals18%
SK Beveren clean sheet25%
Lommel United clean sheet44%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

SK Beveren

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Kortrijk · Jupiler Pro League0-1L
Sep 12, 2026St. Truiden · Jupiler Pro League2-0W
Sep 6, 2026OH Leuven · Jupiler Pro League3-0W
Aug 28, 2026Genk · Jupiler Pro League0-4L
Aug 22, 2026Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League0-4L

Lommel United

DateOpponentScore
Sep 26, 2026Diksmuide · Cup2-0W
Sep 19, 2026KV Mechelen · Jupiler Pro League0-0D
Sep 12, 2026Union St. Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League0-5L
Sep 4, 2026Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League0-1L
Aug 29, 2026Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
SK Beveren997
Lommel United1287

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 2026SK Beveren 2-0 Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
Nov 7, 2025Lommel United 2-2 SK BeverenChallenger Pro League
Feb 22, 2025Lommel United 1-2 SK BeverenChallenger Pro League
Aug 17, 2024SK Beveren 2-1 Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
Apr 19, 2024Lommel United 3-1 SK BeverenChallenger Pro League

Out and doubtful

SK Beveren

No absences reported.

Lommel United

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

SK Beveren

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Godeau5/5
  • C. Bruls5/5
  • C. Janssens5/5
  • C. Lokesa5/5
  • J. Schenk5/5
  • L. Jans5/5
  • S. Dewaele5/5
  • Y. Gomis4/5
  • C. Conde3/5
  • J. Margaritha3/5
  • L. Mertens3/5

Lommel United

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Konadu4/4
  • J. Pelupessy4/4
  • J. Talvitie4/4
  • J. van Duiven4/4
  • L. Schoofs4/4
  • M. Pieklak4/4
  • S. Adewoye4/4
  • S. Appuah4/4
  • T. Reyners4/4
  • D. Wouters3/4
  • T. Eyoma3/4

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the SK Beveren vs Lommel United prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave SK Beveren a 22% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lommel United 50%. Lommel United are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-3.

What is the most likely correct score for SK Beveren vs Lommel United?

0-1 (15.2%), followed by 1-1 (12.5%), 0-0 (11.0%), 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-0 (9.0%).

Will both teams score in SK Beveren vs Lommel United?

The probability that both SK Beveren and Lommel United score is 42%. SK Beveren have a 25% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lommel United 44%.

How many goals should we expect in SK Beveren vs Lommel United?

The model expects 2.21 goals (0.82 for SK Beveren, 1.39 for Lommel United). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 38%, over 3.5 goals 18%.

When and where is SK Beveren vs Lommel United played?

Friday, October 9, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Jupiler Pro League, matchday 8. Venue: Freethiel Stadion, Beveren.

What form are SK Beveren and Lommel United in?

SK Beveren: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded). Lommel United: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between SK Beveren and Lommel United?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for SK Beveren, 1 for Lommel United and 1 draw. The most recent ended SK Beveren 2-0 Lommel United (Feb 8, 2026).

What was the SK Beveren vs Lommel United result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: SK Beveren 1-3 Lommel United. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Lommel United at 50%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.0%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): missed.

How is the SK Beveren vs Lommel United prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.82 for SK Beveren, 1.39 for Lommel United) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained