Jupiler Pro League· Kick-off : Friday, October 9, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
SK Beveren vs Lommel United: 1-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: SK Beveren 1-3 Lommel United. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Lommel United at 50%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.0%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): missed.
Match analysis
SK Beveren and Lommel United met on Friday, October 9, 2026, a Jupiler Pro League, matchday 8 fixture. Venue: Freethiel Stadion, Beveren. Before kick-off, our model gave SK Beveren a 22% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lommel United 50%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (15.2%), followed by 1-1 (12.5%) and 0-0 (11.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, SK Beveren have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Lommel United have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average SK Beveren score 1.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Lommel United score 0.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, SK Beveren sit 9th with 9 points from 7 games, Lommel United 12th with 8 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, SK Beveren have averaged 0.70 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.63 for Lommel United.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for SK Beveren, 1 for Lommel United and 1 draw. The most recent ended SK Beveren 2-0 Lommel United (Feb 8, 2026). In double chance terms, "SK Beveren or draw" stands at 50%, "Lommel United or draw" at 78% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Lommel United are tipped by our AI model in this SK Beveren v Lommel United (50%). On recent form, SK Beveren have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Lommel United have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as SK Beveren – Lommel United. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (15.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SK Beveren 0-1 Lommel United | 15.2% |
| SK Beveren 1-1 Lommel United | 12.5% |
| SK Beveren 0-0 Lommel United | 11.0% |
| SK Beveren 0-2 Lommel United | 10.6% |
| SK Beveren 1-0 Lommel United | 9.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.82 expected goals for SK Beveren and 1.39 for Lommel United, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 38% and "both teams to score" at 42%. Few goals are expected here. SK Beveren keep a clean sheet in 25% of scenarios, Lommel United in 44%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| SK Beveren expected goals | 0.82 |
| Lommel United expected goals | 1.39 |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| SK Beveren clean sheet | 25% |
| Lommel United clean sheet | 44% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
SK Beveren
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kortrijk · Jupiler Pro League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | St. Truiden · Jupiler Pro League | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | OH Leuven · Jupiler Pro League | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Genk · Jupiler Pro League | 0-4 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League | 0-4 | L |
Lommel United
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Diksmuide · Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | KV Mechelen · Jupiler Pro League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League | 0-5 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SK Beveren | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| Lommel United | 12 | 8 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | SK Beveren 2-0 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Lommel United 2-2 SK Beveren | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Lommel United 1-2 SK Beveren | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | SK Beveren 2-1 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Lommel United 3-1 SK Beveren | Challenger Pro League |
Out and doubtful
SK Beveren
No absences reported.
Lommel United
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
SK Beveren
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Godeau5/5
- C. Bruls5/5
- C. Janssens5/5
- C. Lokesa5/5
- J. Schenk5/5
- L. Jans5/5
- S. Dewaele5/5
- Y. Gomis4/5
- C. Conde3/5
- J. Margaritha3/5
- L. Mertens3/5
Lommel United
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Konadu4/4
- J. Pelupessy4/4
- J. Talvitie4/4
- J. van Duiven4/4
- L. Schoofs4/4
- M. Pieklak4/4
- S. Adewoye4/4
- S. Appuah4/4
- T. Reyners4/4
- D. Wouters3/4
- T. Eyoma3/4
Other matches in this competition
- Cercle Brugge 1-2 AnderlechtOct 10, 2026
- RAAL La Louvière 1-4 Club Brugge KVOct 10, 2026
- Zulte Waregem 0-2 GentOct 10, 2026
- Genk 3-0 KortrijkOct 10, 2026
- Standard Liege 0-1 CharleroiOct 11, 2026
- Union St. Gilloise 1-1 OH LeuvenOct 11, 2026
- KVC Westerlo 5-1 AntwerpOct 11, 2026
- KV Mechelen 4-3 St. TruidenOct 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the SK Beveren vs Lommel United prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave SK Beveren a 22% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lommel United 50%. Lommel United are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-3.
What is the most likely correct score for SK Beveren vs Lommel United?
0-1 (15.2%), followed by 1-1 (12.5%), 0-0 (11.0%), 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-0 (9.0%).
Will both teams score in SK Beveren vs Lommel United?
The probability that both SK Beveren and Lommel United score is 42%. SK Beveren have a 25% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lommel United 44%.
How many goals should we expect in SK Beveren vs Lommel United?
The model expects 2.21 goals (0.82 for SK Beveren, 1.39 for Lommel United). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 38%, over 3.5 goals 18%.
When and where is SK Beveren vs Lommel United played?
Friday, October 9, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Jupiler Pro League, matchday 8. Venue: Freethiel Stadion, Beveren.
What form are SK Beveren and Lommel United in?
SK Beveren: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded). Lommel United: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between SK Beveren and Lommel United?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for SK Beveren, 1 for Lommel United and 1 draw. The most recent ended SK Beveren 2-0 Lommel United (Feb 8, 2026).
What was the SK Beveren vs Lommel United result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: SK Beveren 1-3 Lommel United. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Lommel United at 50%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.0%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): missed.
How is the SK Beveren vs Lommel United prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.82 for SK Beveren, 1.39 for Lommel United) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All SK Beveren predictions
- All Lommel United predictions
- Jupiler Pro League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

