Skip to content
Elofoot

Peruvian Liga 1Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1 – 1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-2

Final score: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-1 Alianza Lima. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Alianza Lima (70%), while a draw was rated at only 17%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 0-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.

Match analysis

Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Alianza Lima met on Sunday, November 8, 2026, a Peruvian Liga 1 fixture. Venue: Estadio Los Chankas, Andahuaylas. Before kick-off, our model gave Club Deportivo Los Chankas a 13% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Alianza Lima 70%. On the correct score, 0-2 comes out on top (10.5%), followed by 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.8%).

Club Deportivo Los Chankas have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Alianza Lima have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Alianza Lima therefore arrive in far better shape than Club Deportivo Los Chankas. On average Club Deportivo Los Chankas score 0.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Alianza Lima score 1.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit 15th with 13 points from 15 games, Alianza Lima 6th with 28 points from 15. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Club Deportivo Los Chankas have averaged 1.29 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.69 for Alianza Lima.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Club Deportivo Los Chankas, 5 for Alianza Lima and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alianza Lima 3-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas (May 24, 2026). In double chance terms, "Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw" stands at 30%, "Alianza Lima or draw" at 87% and "no draw" at 83%.

In short : Our model backs Alianza Lima to edge Club Deportivo Los Chankas (70% probability). In the table, Club Deportivo Los Chankas (15th, 13 pts) host Alianza Lima (6th, 28 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 64%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

13%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Win)
17%
Draw
70%
Alianza Lima (Win)

Double chance

30%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw
87%
Alianza Lima or draw
83%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Club Deportivo Los Chankas – Alianza Lima. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (10.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0-2 Alianza Lima10.5%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-2 Alianza Lima9.6%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0-1 Alianza Lima8.8%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0-3 Alianza Lima8.3%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-1 Alianza Lima8.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.92 expected goals for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 2.37 for Alianza Lima, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 64% and "both teams to score" at 55%. Goals look likely in this one. Club Deportivo Los Chankas keep a clean sheet in 9% of scenarios, Alianza Lima in 40%.

Probability
Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected goals0.92
Alianza Lima expected goals2.37
Both teams to score55%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas clean sheet9%
Alianza Lima clean sheet40%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026UCV Moquegua · Peruvian Liga 10-0D
Oct 29, 2026Cusco · Peruvian Liga 10-1L
Oct 25, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso · Peruvian Liga 11-4L
Oct 16, 2026ADT · Peruvian Liga 12-1W
Oct 8, 2026Atletico Grau · Peruvian Liga 10-0D

Alianza Lima

DateOpponentScore
Nov 4, 2026Cienciano · Peruvian Liga 11-0W
Oct 29, 2026Sporting Cristal · Peruvian Liga 12-3L
Oct 25, 2026UCV Moquegua · Peruvian Liga 11-0W
Oct 18, 2026Atletico Grau · Peruvian Liga 13-1W
Oct 12, 2026Cusco · Peruvian Liga 12-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Club Deportivo Los Chankas151315
Alianza Lima62815

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Alianza Lima 3-0 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
Nov 5, 2025Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-2 Alianza LimaPrimera División
Apr 19, 2025Alianza Lima 1-0 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División
Aug 24, 2024Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0-1 Alianza LimaPrimera División
Mar 29, 2024Alianza Lima 3-0 Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División

Out and doubtful

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

No absences reported.

Alianza Lima

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Pimienta5/5
  • H. Camacho5/5
  • M. Torres5/5
  • O. Takeuchi5/5
  • F. Torres4/5
  • J. Palomino4/5
  • C. Velarde3/5
  • G. Rizzo3/5
  • H. Gonzalez3/5
  • J. Quintero3/5
  • A. Ayarza2/5

Alianza Lima

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Duarte5/5
  • E. Castillo5/5
  • F. Gaibor4/5
  • F. Girotti4/5
  • J. Velez3/5
  • K. Quevedo3/5
  • L. Advincula3/5
  • M. Antoni3/5
  • M. Huaman3/5
  • R. Garces3/5
  • E. Pavez2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Club Deportivo Los Chankas a 13% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Alianza Lima 70%. Alianza Lima are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?

0-2 (10.5%), followed by 1-2 (9.6%), 0-1 (8.8%), 0-3 (8.3%) and 1-1 (8.1%).

Will both teams score in Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?

The probability that both Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Alianza Lima score is 55%. Club Deportivo Los Chankas have a 9% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Alianza Lima 40%.

How many goals should we expect in Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?

The model expects 3.29 goals (0.92 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas, 2.37 for Alianza Lima). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 42%.

When and where is Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima played?

Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio Los Chankas, Andahuaylas.

What form are Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Alianza Lima in?

Club Deportivo Los Chankas: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded). Alianza Lima: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Alianza Lima?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Club Deportivo Los Chankas, 5 for Alianza Lima and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alianza Lima 3-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas (May 24, 2026).

What was the Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-1 Alianza Lima. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Alianza Lima (70%), while a draw was rated at only 17%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 0-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.

How is the Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.92 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas, 2.37 for Alianza Lima) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained