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Peruvian Liga 1Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Friday, November 6, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Atletico Grau vs Cusco: 3-0 result and AI prediction review

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3 – 0CuscoCusco

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-1

Final score: Atletico Grau 3-0 Cusco. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Cusco (48%), while victory for Atletico Grau was rated at only 25%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.4%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): missed.

Match analysis

Atletico Grau and Cusco met on Friday, November 6, 2026, a Peruvian Liga 1 fixture. Venue: Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura. Before kick-off, our model gave Atletico Grau a 25% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cusco 48%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (12.8%), followed by 1-1 (12.5%) and 0-2 (9.2%).

Atletico Grau have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Cusco have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Cusco therefore arrive in far better shape than Atletico Grau. On average Atletico Grau score 0.60 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Cusco score 1.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Atletico Grau sit 11th with 18 points from 15 games, Cusco 10th with 24 points from 15. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Atletico Grau have averaged 1.05 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.34 for Cusco.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atletico Grau, 2 for Cusco and 2 draws. The most recent ended Cusco 1-0 Atletico Grau (May 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Atletico Grau or draw" stands at 52%, "Cusco or draw" at 75% and "no draw" at 73%.

In short : Our model backs Cusco to edge Atletico Grau (48% probability). In the table, Atletico Grau (11th, 18 pts) host Cusco (10th, 24 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 48%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

25%
Atletico Grau (Win)
27%
Draw
48%
Cusco (Win)

Double chance

52%
Atletico Grau or draw
75%
Cusco or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Atletico Grau – Cusco. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Atletico Grau 0-1 Cusco12.8%
Atletico Grau 1-1 Cusco12.5%
Atletico Grau 0-2 Cusco9.2%
Atletico Grau 1-2 Cusco9.0%
Atletico Grau 0-0 Cusco8.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.98 expected goals for Atletico Grau and 1.44 for Cusco, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 44% and "both teams to score" at 48%. Atletico Grau keep a clean sheet in 24% of scenarios, Cusco in 38%.

Probability
Atletico Grau expected goals0.98
Cusco expected goals1.44
Both teams to score48%
Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Atletico Grau clean sheet24%
Cusco clean sheet38%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Atletico Grau

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026Universitario · Peruvian Liga 11-3L
Oct 29, 2026Cienciano · Peruvian Liga 10-3L
Oct 23, 2026ADT · Peruvian Liga 11-1D
Oct 18, 2026Alianza Lima · Peruvian Liga 11-3L
Oct 8, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas · Peruvian Liga 10-0D

Cusco

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026Sport Boys · Peruvian Liga 10-1L
Oct 29, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas · Peruvian Liga 11-0W
Oct 24, 2026Sporting Cristal · Peruvian Liga 13-1W
Oct 16, 2026Sport Huancayo · Peruvian Liga 11-2L
Oct 12, 2026Alianza Lima · Peruvian Liga 11-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Atletico Grau111815
Cusco102415

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Cusco 1-0 Atletico GrauPrimera División
Oct 26, 2025Cusco 1-0 Atletico GrauPrimera División
Jun 19, 2025Atletico Grau 0-0 CuscoPrimera División
Mar 7, 2025Atletico Grau 0-0 CuscoCONMEBOL Sudamericana
Oct 28, 2024Cusco 0-1 Atletico GrauPrimera División

Out and doubtful

Atletico Grau

No absences reported.

Cusco

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Atletico Grau

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • I. Tapia5/5
  • R. Guarderas5/5
  • R. Tapia5/5
  • A. Fernandez3/5
  • A. Vasquez3/5
  • C. Vasquez3/5
  • F. Oncoy3/5
  • G. E. Alfaro Martinez3/5
  • L. Acevedo3/5
  • P. Alvarez3/5
  • D. Barreto2/5

Cusco

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Gamarra5/5
  • F. Callejo5/5
  • I. Colman5/5
  • R. Lagos5/5
  • D. Soto4/5
  • J. Manzaneda4/5
  • J. Zevallos4/5
  • A. Fuentes3/5
  • C. Montano3/5
  • L. Colitto3/5
  • P. Diaz3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Atletico Grau vs Cusco prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Atletico Grau a 25% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cusco 48%. Cusco are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Atletico Grau vs Cusco?

0-1 (12.8%), followed by 1-1 (12.5%), 0-2 (9.2%), 1-2 (9.0%) and 0-0 (8.9%).

Will both teams score in Atletico Grau vs Cusco?

The probability that both Atletico Grau and Cusco score is 48%. Atletico Grau have a 24% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cusco 38%.

How many goals should we expect in Atletico Grau vs Cusco?

The model expects 2.42 goals (0.98 for Atletico Grau, 1.44 for Cusco). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 70%, over 2.5 goals 44%, over 3.5 goals 23%.

When and where is Atletico Grau vs Cusco played?

Friday, November 6, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura.

What form are Atletico Grau and Cusco in?

Atletico Grau: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 10 conceded). Cusco: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Grau and Cusco?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atletico Grau, 2 for Cusco and 2 draws. The most recent ended Cusco 1-0 Atletico Grau (May 23, 2026).

What was the Atletico Grau vs Cusco result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Atletico Grau 3-0 Cusco. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Cusco (48%), while victory for Atletico Grau was rated at only 25%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.4%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): missed.

How is the Atletico Grau vs Cusco prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.98 for Atletico Grau, 1.44 for Cusco) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained