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Peruvian Liga 1Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso0 – 0Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-1

Final score: Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Deportivo Garcilaso (62%), while a draw was rated at only 19%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (62%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (68%): missed.

Match analysis

Deportivo Garcilaso and Comerciantes Unidos met on Sunday, November 8, 2026, a Peruvian Liga 1 fixture. Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco. Before kick-off, our model gave Deportivo Garcilaso a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Comerciantes Unidos 19%. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (9.6%), followed by 1-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.1%).

Over their last 5 matches, Deportivo Garcilaso have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Comerciantes Unidos have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 9 and conceding 9. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Deportivo Garcilaso score 2.20 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Comerciantes Unidos score 1.80 and concede 1.80. In the table, Deportivo Garcilaso sit 5th with 28 points from 15 games, Comerciantes Unidos 13th with 15 points from 15. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Deportivo Garcilaso have averaged 1.50 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.81 for Comerciantes Unidos.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Deportivo Garcilaso, 2 for Comerciantes Unidos and 2 draws. The most recent ended Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso (May 25, 2026). In double chance terms, "Deportivo Garcilaso or draw" stands at 81%, "Comerciantes Unidos or draw" at 38% and "no draw" at 81%.

In short : Deportivo Garcilaso are tipped by our AI model in this Deportivo Garcilaso v Comerciantes Unidos (62%). In the table, Deportivo Garcilaso (5th, 28 pts) host Comerciantes Unidos (13th, 15 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

62%
Deportivo Garcilaso (Win)
19%
Draw
19%
Comerciantes Unidos (Win)

Double chance

81%
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw
38%
Comerciantes Unidos or draw
81%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Deportivo Garcilaso – Comerciantes Unidos. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 41% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Deportivo Garcilaso 2-1 Comerciantes Unidos9.6%
Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos8.4%
Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos8.1%
Deportivo Garcilaso 3-1 Comerciantes Unidos7.4%
Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.30 expected goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.18 for Comerciantes Unidos, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 68% and "both teams to score" at 62%. Goals look likely in this one. Deportivo Garcilaso keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, Comerciantes Unidos in 10%.

Probability
Deportivo Garcilaso expected goals2.30
Comerciantes Unidos expected goals1.18
Both teams to score62%
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet31%
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet10%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Deportivo Garcilaso

DateOpponentScore
Nov 2, 2026UTC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 13-2W
Oct 28, 2026Alianza Atletico · Peruvian Liga 12-3L
Oct 25, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas · Peruvian Liga 14-1W
Oct 18, 2026FBC Melgar · Peruvian Liga 12-4L
Oct 10, 2026Sport Huancayo · Peruvian Liga 10-1L

Comerciantes Unidos

DateOpponentScore
Nov 3, 2026ADT · Peruvian Liga 12-2D
Oct 30, 2026FBC Melgar · Peruvian Liga 11-1D
Oct 25, 2026Cienciano · Peruvian Liga 13-1W
Oct 18, 2026Sporting Cristal · Peruvian Liga 12-4L
Oct 10, 2026Juan Pablo II College · Peruvian Liga 11-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Deportivo Garcilaso52815
Comerciantes Unidos131515

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 Deportivo GarcilasoPrimera División
Jul 27, 2025Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 Deportivo GarcilasoPrimera División
Feb 16, 2025Deportivo Garcilaso 2-1 Comerciantes UnidosPrimera División
Aug 25, 2024Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 Deportivo GarcilasoPrimera División
Mar 28, 2024Deportivo Garcilaso 1-2 Comerciantes UnidosPrimera División

Out and doubtful

Deportivo Garcilaso

No absences reported.

Comerciantes Unidos

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Deportivo Garcilaso

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Salazar5/5
  • F. Castelli5/5
  • P. Zubczuk5/5
  • A. Gomez3/5
  • A. Gonzalez3/5
  • B. Da Silva3/5
  • C. I. Ramos Rodriguez3/5
  • E. Canales3/5
  • F. Arancibia3/5
  • K. Sandoval3/5
  • X. Moreno3/5

Comerciantes Unidos

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Parodi5/5
  • J. Rodriguez5/5
  • M. Sen5/5
  • Y. Gamero5/5
  • D. Lino4/5
  • F. Alcedo4/5
  • J. Herrera3/5
  • Jhon Sanchez3/5
  • A. Arias2/5
  • A. Rodríguez2/5
  • M. Cordova2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Deportivo Garcilaso a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Comerciantes Unidos 19%. Deportivo Garcilaso are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos?

2-1 (9.6%), followed by 1-1 (8.4%), 2-0 (8.1%), 3-1 (7.4%) and 1-0 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos?

The probability that both Deportivo Garcilaso and Comerciantes Unidos score is 62%. Deportivo Garcilaso have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Comerciantes Unidos 10%.

How many goals should we expect in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos?

The model expects 3.48 goals (2.30 for Deportivo Garcilaso, 1.18 for Comerciantes Unidos). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 68%, over 3.5 goals 46%.

When and where is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos played?

Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco.

What form are Deportivo Garcilaso and Comerciantes Unidos in?

Deportivo Garcilaso: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 11 conceded). Comerciantes Unidos: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Garcilaso and Comerciantes Unidos?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Deportivo Garcilaso, 2 for Comerciantes Unidos and 2 draws. The most recent ended Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso (May 25, 2026).

What was the Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Deportivo Garcilaso (62%), while a draw was rated at only 19%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (62%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (68%): missed.

How is the Deportivo Garcilaso vs Comerciantes Unidos prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.30 for Deportivo Garcilaso, 1.18 for Comerciantes Unidos) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained