Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Thursday, November 5, 2026, 01:30 (UK time)
Universitario vs Sport Boys: 2-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Universitario 2-2 Sport Boys. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Universitario (70%), while a draw was rated at only 19%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.3%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): correct.
Match analysis
Universitario vs Sport Boys was played on Thursday, November 5, 2026 (Peruvian Liga 1). Venue: Estadio Monumental U Marathon, Lima. Before kick-off, our model gave Universitario a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sport Boys 11%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (13.3%), ahead of 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Universitario have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Sport Boys have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Recent momentum is clearly with Universitario. On average Universitario score 2.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Sport Boys score 1.20 and concede 2.00. In the table, Universitario sit 3rd with 30 points from 14 games, Sport Boys 9th with 24 points from 14. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Universitario have averaged 1.63 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.92 for Sport Boys.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Universitario, 1 for Sport Boys and 1 draw. The most recent ended Sport Boys 0-0 Universitario (May 12, 2026). In double chance terms, "Universitario or draw" stands at 89%, "Sport Boys or draw" at 30% and "no draw" at 81%.
In short : Universitario are tipped by our AI model in this Universitario v Sport Boys (70%). On recent form, Universitario have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Sport Boys have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Universitario – Sport Boys. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Universitario 2-0 Sport Boys | 13.3% |
| Universitario 1-0 Sport Boys | 12.5% |
| Universitario 2-1 Sport Boys | 9.4% |
| Universitario 3-0 Sport Boys | 9.4% |
| Universitario 1-1 Sport Boys | 8.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.83 goals in total (2.12 for Universitario, 0.71 for Sport Boys): over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability and both teams to score 45%. Universitario keep a clean sheet in 49% of scenarios, Sport Boys in 12%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Universitario expected goals | 2.12 |
| Sport Boys expected goals | 0.71 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Universitario clean sheet | 49% |
| Sport Boys clean sheet | 12% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Universitario
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atletico Grau · Peruvian Liga 1 | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College · Peruvian Liga 1 | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alianza Atletico · Peruvian Liga 1 | 4-1 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FBC Melgar · Peruvian Liga 1 | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-4 | L |
Sport Boys
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Cusco · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 1 | 4-2 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alianza Atletico · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Alianza Atletico · Copa De La Liga | 0-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universitario | 3 | 30 | 14 |
| Sport Boys | 9 | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Sport Boys 0-0 Universitario | Peruvian Liga 1 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Universitario 0-1 Sport Boys | Club Friendlies |
Out and doubtful
Universitario
No absences reported.
Sport Boys
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Universitario
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Polo5/5
- A. Valera5/5
- C. Fara5/5
- C. Inga5/5
- D. Romero5/5
- J. Concha5/5
- W. Riveros5/5
- A. Santamaria4/5
- G. Lapadula4/5
- H. Calcaterra4/5
- E. Flores2/5
Sport Boys
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Zambrano5/5
- M. Llontop5/5
- Y. Celi5/5
- E. Saba4/5
- L. Urruti4/5
- O. Mora4/5
- C. Cueva3/5
- D. Melian3/5
- F. Illanes3/5
- H. Riojas3/5
- P. Erustes3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sport Huancayo 2-0 FBC MelgarNov 2, 2026
- UTC Cajamarca 2-3 Deportivo GarcilasoNov 2, 2026
- Sporting Cristal 5-0 FC CajamarcaNov 2, 2026
- Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 ADTNov 3, 2026
- Alianza Lima 1-0 CiencianoNov 4, 2026
- Atletico Grau 3-0 CuscoNov 6, 2026
- ADT 1-1 Sporting CristalNov 7, 2026
- FC Cajamarca 2-0 Alianza AtleticoNov 7, 2026
- FBC Melgar 2-1 Juan Pablo II CollegeNov 7, 2026
- Cienciano 1-2 Sport HuancayoNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Universitario vs Sport Boys prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Universitario a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sport Boys 11%. Universitario are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Universitario vs Sport Boys?
2-0 (13.3%), followed by 1-0 (12.5%), 2-1 (9.4%), 3-0 (9.4%) and 1-1 (8.9%).
Will both teams score in Universitario vs Sport Boys?
The probability that both Universitario and Sport Boys score is 45%. Universitario have a 49% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sport Boys 12%.
How many goals should we expect in Universitario vs Sport Boys?
The model expects 2.83 goals (2.12 for Universitario, 0.71 for Sport Boys). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is Universitario vs Sport Boys played?
Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 01:30 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio Monumental U Marathon, Lima.
What form are Universitario and Sport Boys in?
Universitario: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 8 conceded). Sport Boys: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Universitario and Sport Boys?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Universitario, 1 for Sport Boys and 1 draw. The most recent ended Sport Boys 0-0 Universitario (May 12, 2026).
What was the Universitario vs Sport Boys result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Universitario 2-2 Sport Boys. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Universitario (70%), while a draw was rated at only 19%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.3%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): correct.
How is the Universitario vs Sport Boys prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.12 for Universitario, 0.71 for Sport Boys) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Universitario predictions
- All Sport Boys predictions
- Peruvian Liga 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology