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Peruvian Liga 1Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT: 2-2 result and AI prediction review

Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos2 – 2ADTADT

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-1

Final score: Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 ADT. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Comerciantes Unidos (60%), while a draw was rated at only 19%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (68%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (73%): correct.

Match analysis

Comerciantes Unidos and ADT met on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, a Peruvian Liga 1 fixture. Venue: Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo. Before kick-off, our model gave Comerciantes Unidos a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and ADT 21%. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (9.0%), followed by 1-1 (7.5%) and 3-1 (7.3%).

Comerciantes Unidos have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 9. ADT have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Comerciantes Unidos score 1.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; ADT score 0.80 and concede 1.60. In the table, Comerciantes Unidos sit 13th with 14 points from 14 games, ADT 17th with 10 points from 14. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Comerciantes Unidos have averaged 1.89 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.78 for ADT.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Comerciantes Unidos, 1 for ADT and 0 draws. The most recent ended ADT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos (May 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "Comerciantes Unidos or draw" stands at 79%, "ADT or draw" at 40% and "no draw" at 81%.

In short : Comerciantes Unidos are tipped by our AI model in this Comerciantes Unidos v ADT (60%). In the table, Comerciantes Unidos (13th, 14 pts) host ADT (17th, 10 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

60%
Comerciantes Unidos (Win)
19%
Draw
21%
ADT (Win)

Double chance

79%
Comerciantes Unidos or draw
40%
ADT or draw
81%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Comerciantes Unidos – ADT. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 37% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 ADT9.0%
Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 ADT7.5%
Comerciantes Unidos 3-1 ADT7.3%
Comerciantes Unidos 2-0 ADT6.5%
Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 ADT6.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.41 expected goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.39 for ADT, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 73% and "both teams to score" at 68%. Goals look likely in this one. Comerciantes Unidos keep a clean sheet in 25% of scenarios, ADT in 9%.

Probability
Comerciantes Unidos expected goals2.41
ADT expected goals1.39
Both teams to score68%
Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet25%
ADT clean sheet9%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Comerciantes Unidos

DateOpponentScore
Oct 30, 2026FBC Melgar · Peruvian Liga 11-1D
Oct 25, 2026Cienciano · Peruvian Liga 13-1W
Oct 18, 2026Sporting Cristal · Peruvian Liga 12-4L
Oct 10, 2026Juan Pablo II College · Peruvian Liga 11-1D
Sep 18, 2026Alianza Atletico · Peruvian Liga 11-2L

ADT

DateOpponentScore
Oct 28, 2026UCV Moquegua · Peruvian Liga 12-0W
Oct 23, 2026Atletico Grau · Peruvian Liga 11-1D
Oct 16, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas · Peruvian Liga 11-2L
Oct 10, 2026FC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 10-0D
Oct 1, 2026Sporting Cristal · Copa De La Liga0-5L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Comerciantes Unidos131414
ADT171014

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026ADT 2-0 Comerciantes UnidosPeruvian Liga 1

Out and doubtful

Comerciantes Unidos

No absences reported.

ADT

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Comerciantes Unidos

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Parodi5/5
  • J. Rodriguez5/5
  • M. Sen5/5
  • D. Lino4/5
  • Jhon Sanchez4/5
  • Y. Gamero4/5
  • A. Arias3/5
  • F. Alcedo3/5
  • M. Cordova3/5
  • A. Rodriguez2/5
  • J. Herrera2/5

ADT

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • H. Benincasa5/5
  • A. Ramos4/5
  • J. Pereyra4/5
  • J. Rojas4/5
  • J. Valencia4/5
  • S. Peralta4/5
  • J. Lucumi3/5
  • L. Perez3/5
  • A. Mazzo2/5
  • A. Ojeda2/5
  • Juan David Lucumí Cuero2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Comerciantes Unidos a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and ADT 21%. Comerciantes Unidos are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?

2-1 (9.0%), followed by 1-1 (7.5%), 3-1 (7.3%), 2-0 (6.5%) and 2-2 (6.3%).

Will both teams score in Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?

The probability that both Comerciantes Unidos and ADT score is 68%. Comerciantes Unidos have a 25% chance of keeping a clean sheet, ADT 9%.

How many goals should we expect in Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?

The model expects 3.80 goals (2.41 for Comerciantes Unidos, 1.39 for ADT). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 89%, over 2.5 goals 73%, over 3.5 goals 53%.

When and where is Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT played?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo.

What form are Comerciantes Unidos and ADT in?

Comerciantes Unidos: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 9 conceded). ADT: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Comerciantes Unidos and ADT?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Comerciantes Unidos, 1 for ADT and 0 draws. The most recent ended ADT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos (May 17, 2026).

What was the Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 ADT. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Comerciantes Unidos (60%), while a draw was rated at only 19%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (68%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (73%): correct.

How is the Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.41 for Comerciantes Unidos, 1.39 for ADT) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained