Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)
Atletico Grau vs Universitario: 1-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Atletico Grau 1-3 Universitario. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Universitario at 63%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.8%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): missed.
Match analysis
Atletico Grau and Universitario met on Sunday, November 1, 2026, a Peruvian Liga 1 fixture. Venue: Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura. Before kick-off, our model gave Atletico Grau a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Universitario 63%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (13.9%), followed by 0-2 (12.7%) and 1-1 (10.4%).
Atletico Grau have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Universitario have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Universitario therefore arrive in far better shape than Atletico Grau. On average Atletico Grau score 0.60 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Universitario score 2.20 and concede 1.60. In the table, Atletico Grau sit 11th with 18 points from 14 games, Universitario 4th with 27 points from 13. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Atletico Grau have averaged 0.93 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.48 for Universitario.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atletico Grau, 0 for Universitario and 0 draws. The most recent ended Universitario 0-1 Atletico Grau (May 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "Atletico Grau or draw" stands at 37%, "Universitario or draw" at 85% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Universitario are favourites for this Atletico Grau v Universitario, with a 63% win probability from our model. On recent form, Atletico Grau have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5 while Universitario have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Atletico Grau – Universitario. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 54% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Atletico Grau 0-1 Universitario | 13.9% |
| Atletico Grau 0-2 Universitario | 12.7% |
| Atletico Grau 1-1 Universitario | 10.4% |
| Atletico Grau 1-2 Universitario | 9.5% |
| Atletico Grau 0-3 Universitario | 7.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.75 expected goals for Atletico Grau and 1.82 for Universitario, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 47% and "both teams to score" at 44%. Atletico Grau keep a clean sheet in 16% of scenarios, Universitario in 47%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Atletico Grau expected goals | 0.75 |
| Universitario expected goals | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Atletico Grau clean sheet | 16% |
| Universitario clean sheet | 47% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Atletico Grau
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Cienciano · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 23, 2026 | ADT · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alianza Lima · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sporting Cristal · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-3 | L |
Universitario
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College · Peruvian Liga 1 | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alianza Atletico · Peruvian Liga 1 | 4-1 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FBC Melgar · Peruvian Liga 1 | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alianza Lima · Peruvian Liga 1 | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Grau | 11 | 18 | 14 |
| Universitario | 4 | 27 | 13 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Universitario 0-1 Atletico Grau | Peruvian Liga 1 |
Out and doubtful
Atletico Grau
No absences reported.
Universitario
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Atletico Grau
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Tapia5/5
- R. Guarderas5/5
- R. Tapia5/5
- A. Fernandez4/5
- A. Vasquez4/5
- F. Oncoy4/5
- G. E. Alfaro Martinez4/5
- P. Alvarez4/5
- C. Vasquez3/5
- D. Barreto3/5
- L. Acevedo2/5
Universitario
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Polo5/5
- A. Valera5/5
- C. Fara5/5
- C. Inga5/5
- D. Romero5/5
- J. Concha5/5
- W. Riveros5/5
- A. Santamaria4/5
- G. Lapadula4/5
- H. Calcaterra3/5
- J. Murrugarra3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sporting Cristal 3-2 Alianza LimaOct 29, 2026
- FBC Melgar 1-1 Comerciantes UnidosOct 30, 2026
- Alianza Atletico 1-0 Juan Pablo II CollegeOct 31, 2026
- UCV Moquegua 0-0 Club Deportivo Los ChankasNov 1, 2026
- Cusco 0-1 Sport BoysNov 1, 2026
- Sport Huancayo 2-0 FBC MelgarNov 2, 2026
- UTC Cajamarca 2-3 Deportivo GarcilasoNov 2, 2026
- Sporting Cristal 5-0 FC CajamarcaNov 2, 2026
- Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 ADTNov 3, 2026
- Alianza Lima 1-0 CiencianoNov 4, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Atletico Grau vs Universitario prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Atletico Grau a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Universitario 63%. Universitario are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Atletico Grau vs Universitario?
0-1 (13.9%), followed by 0-2 (12.7%), 1-1 (10.4%), 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-3 (7.7%).
Will both teams score in Atletico Grau vs Universitario?
The probability that both Atletico Grau and Universitario score is 44%. Atletico Grau have a 16% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Universitario 47%.
How many goals should we expect in Atletico Grau vs Universitario?
The model expects 2.57 goals (0.75 for Atletico Grau, 1.82 for Universitario). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 47%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Atletico Grau vs Universitario played?
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura.
What form are Atletico Grau and Universitario in?
Atletico Grau: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 10 conceded). Universitario: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Grau and Universitario?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Atletico Grau, 0 for Universitario and 0 draws. The most recent ended Universitario 0-1 Atletico Grau (May 16, 2026).
What was the Atletico Grau vs Universitario result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Atletico Grau 1-3 Universitario. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Universitario at 63%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.8%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): missed.
How is the Atletico Grau vs Universitario prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.75 for Atletico Grau, 1.82 for Universitario) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Atletico Grau predictions
- All Universitario predictions
- Peruvian Liga 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology