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Peruvian Liga 1Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)

UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua0 – 0Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-1

Final score: UCV Moquegua 0-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Club Deportivo Los Chankas (53%), while a draw was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (18.5%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (28%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (24%): correct.

Match analysis

UCV Moquegua and Club Deportivo Los Chankas met on Sunday, November 1, 2026, a Peruvian Liga 1 fixture. Venue: Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua. Before kick-off, our model gave UCV Moquegua a 16% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 53%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (21.8%), followed by 0-0 (18.5%) and 0-2 (12.8%).

UCV Moquegua have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 9. Club Deportivo Los Chankas have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average UCV Moquegua score 0.20 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Club Deportivo Los Chankas score 0.80 and concede 1.40. In the table, UCV Moquegua sit 17th with 10 points from 14 games, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 14th with 12 points from 14. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, UCV Moquegua have averaged 0.49 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.23 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for UCV Moquegua, 1 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 0 draws. The most recent ended Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-0 UCV Moquegua (May 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "UCV Moquegua or draw" stands at 47%, "Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw" at 84% and "no draw" at 69%.

In short : Club Deportivo Los Chankas are favourites for this UCV Moquegua v Club Deportivo Los Chankas, with a 53% win probability from our model. In the table, UCV Moquegua (17th, 10 pts) host Club Deportivo Los Chankas (14th, 12 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

16%
UCV Moquegua (Win)
31%
Draw
53%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Win)

Double chance

47%
UCV Moquegua or draw
84%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw
69%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as UCV Moquegua – Club Deportivo Los Chankas. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (21.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 74% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
UCV Moquegua 0-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas21.8%
UCV Moquegua 0-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas18.5%
UCV Moquegua 0-2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas12.8%
UCV Moquegua 1-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas11.1%
UCV Moquegua 1-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas9.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.51 expected goals for UCV Moquegua and 1.18 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 24% and "both teams to score" at 28%. Few goals are expected here. UCV Moquegua keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, Club Deportivo Los Chankas in 60%.

Probability
UCV Moquegua expected goals0.51
Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected goals1.18
Both teams to score28%
Over 1.5 goals50%
Over 2.5 goals24%
Over 3.5 goals9%
UCV Moquegua clean sheet31%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas clean sheet60%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

UCV Moquegua

DateOpponentScore
Oct 28, 2026ADT · Peruvian Liga 10-2L
Oct 25, 2026Alianza Lima · Peruvian Liga 10-1L
Oct 18, 2026FC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 11-0W
Oct 8, 2026Cienciano · Peruvian Liga 10-2L
Sep 20, 2026Juan Pablo II College · Peruvian Liga 10-4L

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026Cusco · Peruvian Liga 10-1L
Oct 25, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso · Peruvian Liga 11-4L
Oct 16, 2026ADT · Peruvian Liga 12-1W
Oct 8, 2026Atletico Grau · Peruvian Liga 10-0D
Sep 30, 2026Cienciano · Peruvian Liga 11-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
UCV Moquegua171014
Club Deportivo Los Chankas141214

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-0 UCV MoqueguaPeruvian Liga 1

Out and doubtful

UCV Moquegua

No absences reported.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

UCV Moquegua

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Perleche5/5
  • C. Enciso5/5
  • C. Grados5/5
  • E. Lastre5/5
  • J. Lojas5/5
  • R. Chipao5/5
  • C. Mejia4/5
  • Y. Zapata4/5
  • J. Collazos3/5
  • N. Amasifuen3/5
  • N. Chavez3/5

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Pimienta5/5
  • F. Torres5/5
  • H. Camacho5/5
  • J. Palomino5/5
  • M. Torres5/5
  • O. Takeuchi5/5
  • H. Gonzalez4/5
  • A. Ayarza3/5
  • C. Velarde3/5
  • G. Rizzo3/5
  • K. Barrios3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave UCV Moquegua a 16% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 53%. Club Deportivo Los Chankas are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

0-1 (21.8%), followed by 0-0 (18.5%), 0-2 (12.8%), 1-1 (11.1%) and 1-0 (9.4%).

Will both teams score in UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

The probability that both UCV Moquegua and Club Deportivo Los Chankas score is 28%. UCV Moquegua have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 60%.

How many goals should we expect in UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

The model expects 1.69 goals (0.51 for UCV Moquegua, 1.18 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 50%, over 2.5 goals 24%, over 3.5 goals 9%.

When and where is UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas played?

Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua.

What form are UCV Moquegua and Club Deportivo Los Chankas in?

UCV Moquegua: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 9 conceded). Club Deportivo Los Chankas: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between UCV Moquegua and Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for UCV Moquegua, 1 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 0 draws. The most recent ended Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-0 UCV Moquegua (May 17, 2026).

What was the UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: UCV Moquegua 0-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Club Deportivo Los Chankas (53%), while a draw was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (18.5%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (28%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (24%): correct.

How is the UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.51 for UCV Moquegua, 1.18 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained