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Peruvian Liga 1Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Monday, November 2, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)

Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo2 – 0FBC MelgarFBC Melgar

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Sport Huancayo 2-0 FBC Melgar. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Sport Huancayo was the model's favourite outcome (46%). The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (65%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.

Match analysis

Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar was played on Monday, November 2, 2026 (Peruvian Liga 1). Venue: Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo. Before kick-off, our model gave Sport Huancayo a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FBC Melgar 31%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (9.9%), ahead of 2-1 (9.0%) and 1-2 (7.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Sport Huancayo have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 6. FBC Melgar are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Sport Huancayo score 2.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; FBC Melgar score 2.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Sport Huancayo sit 3rd with 28 points from 14 games, FBC Melgar 5th with 26 points from 14. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Sport Huancayo have averaged 1.53 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.77 for FBC Melgar.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sport Huancayo, 1 for FBC Melgar and 0 draws. The most recent ended FBC Melgar 4-1 Sport Huancayo (May 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "Sport Huancayo or draw" stands at 69%, "FBC Melgar or draw" at 54% and "no draw" at 77%.

In short : Sport Huancayo are favourites for this Sport Huancayo v FBC Melgar, with a 46% win probability from our model. On recent form, Sport Huancayo are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while FBC Melgar have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

46%
Sport Huancayo (Win)
23%
Draw
31%
FBC Melgar (Win)

Double chance

69%
Sport Huancayo or draw
54%
FBC Melgar or draw
77%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Sport Huancayo – FBC Melgar. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 40% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Sport Huancayo 1-1 FBC Melgar9.9%
Sport Huancayo 2-1 FBC Melgar9.0%
Sport Huancayo 1-2 FBC Melgar7.3%
Sport Huancayo 2-2 FBC Melgar6.7%
Sport Huancayo 1-0 FBC Melgar6.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.31 goals in total (1.83 for Sport Huancayo, 1.48 for FBC Melgar): over 2.5 goals has a 64% probability and both teams to score 65%. Everything points to an open game. Sport Huancayo keep a clean sheet in 23% of scenarios, FBC Melgar in 16%.

Probability
Sport Huancayo expected goals1.83
FBC Melgar expected goals1.48
Both teams to score65%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Sport Huancayo clean sheet23%
FBC Melgar clean sheet16%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Sport Huancayo

DateOpponentScore
Oct 27, 2026Juan Pablo II College · Peruvian Liga 10-2L
Oct 24, 2026Alianza Atletico · Peruvian Liga 14-1W
Oct 16, 2026Cusco · Peruvian Liga 12-1W
Oct 10, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso · Peruvian Liga 11-0W
Sep 20, 2026UTC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 13-2W

FBC Melgar

DateOpponentScore
Oct 30, 2026Comerciantes Unidos · Peruvian Liga 11-1D
Oct 23, 2026UTC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 12-1W
Oct 18, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso · Peruvian Liga 14-2W
Oct 11, 2026Universitario · Peruvian Liga 12-2D
Sep 20, 2026Sport Boys · Peruvian Liga 11-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Sport Huancayo32814
FBC Melgar52614

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026FBC Melgar 4-1 Sport HuancayoPeruvian Liga 1

Out and doubtful

Sport Huancayo

No absences reported.

FBC Melgar

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Sport Huancayo

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Valoyes5/5
  • M. Gaona5/5
  • R. Salcedo5/5
  • A. Zamudio4/5
  • D. Carabano4/5
  • D. Porozo4/5
  • J. Falconi4/5
  • J. Sanguinetti4/5
  • N. Lujan4/5
  • P. Magallanes4/5
  • H. Angeles3/5

FBC Melgar

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Bordacahar5/5
  • J. Cabezudo5/5
  • M. Lazo5/5
  • N. Cabanillas5/5
  • B. Cuesta4/5
  • J. Escobar4/5
  • J. Vidales4/5
  • K. Minda4/5
  • L. Gonzalez4/5
  • N. Quagliata4/5
  • W. Tandazo3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Sport Huancayo a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FBC Melgar 31%. Sport Huancayo are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar?

1-1 (9.9%), followed by 2-1 (9.0%), 1-2 (7.3%), 2-2 (6.7%) and 1-0 (6.7%).

Will both teams score in Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar?

The probability that both Sport Huancayo and FBC Melgar score is 65%. Sport Huancayo have a 23% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FBC Melgar 16%.

How many goals should we expect in Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar?

The model expects 3.31 goals (1.83 for Sport Huancayo, 1.48 for FBC Melgar). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 42%.

When and where is Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar played?

Monday, November 2, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo.

What form are Sport Huancayo and FBC Melgar in?

Sport Huancayo: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded). FBC Melgar: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Sport Huancayo and FBC Melgar?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sport Huancayo, 1 for FBC Melgar and 0 draws. The most recent ended FBC Melgar 4-1 Sport Huancayo (May 16, 2026).

What was the Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Sport Huancayo 2-0 FBC Melgar. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Sport Huancayo was the model's favourite outcome (46%). The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (65%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.

How is the Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.83 for Sport Huancayo, 1.48 for FBC Melgar) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained